Comments or suggestions: Gerard Van der Leun
On Polls: "Relax don't do it / When you want to go to it."

[Note: This is an extended comment by Scott M to Suppress the Vote! Technique # 1 @ AMERICAN DIGEST]

There is no sense in listening to the polls, following the polls, or trying to guess the outcome of the election.

First, the election is settled state by state. The national accumulated popular vote, which is what the polls attempt to anticipate, is meaningless. Each state will have its vote go to Obama or Romney, whether the candidate wins/loses by one or one million votes. A few states with large populations easily distort reality. Even if everybody in NY and CA vote for Obama, which would distort national popular vote counts, they still account for the same number of Electoral votes.

Second, nobody will know until the Democrats voters show up on Wed Nov. 7 to cast their vote which of these polls turns out to be right. Why let a false conclusion of a poll influence you now? Last time Rasmussen's pre-election polling turned out to be closest to the actual outcome. Before that I think Zogby turned out to be closest to the mark. We won't know which of these polls was right until after the fact. We do know right now that many of these polls will be wrong. We just don't know which will be wrong.

Third, as the news business has gotten more and more dishonest, or at least unmoored from professional standards, polling has used tricks to shade the outcome toward the intended direction. Do you care what 19 people in a Whole Food grocery store parking lot pick for POTUS? Do you know how many people make up the poll you are hearing about? Do you know if these people have ever voted before? It matters a great deal if the poll is sampling people who technically might vote or people that actually did vote last time. Do you know if the polling sampled far more Dems than Reps or Inds? Do you know if the answer has been adjusted to account for a distortion of the sample?

Fourth, the media routinely use reports of polling results, however accurate or not, to signal their audience what they should think. Most people want to be included with the larger group and the media reports are always careful suggest whether their audience should ignore the poll or incorporate the poll data personally.

Michael Medved makes the point no POTUS has ever been reelected to a second term unless his support increased over the support he had in his first election. That's to say, every POTUS reelected gets more votes the second time than the first time or they lose. There is no second term exception in US history. Does anyone think Obama has more support from college kids, black voters, working class voters now than during the Hopeandchange Hurricane of 2008? This doesn't decide who will be the winner in November but it should settle some fears.

Fifth, it will be what it will be. No amount of happiness or despair now will decide anything. It's like worrying if it will rain on your future wedding date. It will or it won't and you can't know in advance. You should prepare for both possibilities.

Lastly, stop watching the media, including Fox. They have 24/7 to fill. That doesn't mean what they put on air is worth knowing. You are in charge of you and you should not let them make decisions for you and your time. Talk to the people around you, don't miss an opportunity for that, but ignore what The Media sends your way. Their job is to convince you that you need to worry and to tune it to get answers. They never provide the answers except to tune in after their 98th commercial of the hour to see if they've answered the concern they've been hawking all day.

The media can't know what it is you probably want to know. They will get the answer about a minute before the rest of on election night. Until then they are guessing.

Now is a good time to note who is claiming what so you can judge their accuracy after the election.

Remember, FOX news is using Karl Rove and Dick Morris as their experts on this matter. Dick Morris of "the election will be between Condi and Hillary" and Rove of "ignore the media GWB, the people will to." Both men have their particular segment of the party they are working for/against. They don't turn that off when they go on Fox. Rove's career will be over if TEA Party types control the party. Morris' vendetta is against the Clinton wing of the Dems. Be wary of anything either man says in those directions.

Overall it's much simpler to just stop watching the media. They don't know any more than you. They just read the same sources you could read and then retell the story on camera. Read it for yourself. That's what a citizen would do.

Posted by: Scott M at September 22, 2012 3:02 PM



Posted by Vanderleun Sep 22, 2012 5:00 PM | Comments (14)  | QuickLink: Permalink
More Rubble, Less Trouble: Some Ask "Why?" I Ask "Why Not?"

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Some see an insane muslim burning the American flag. I see an oppressed, bonfire-challenged muslim begging for a live, on-site, fly-by demo of American napalm.



Posted by Vanderleun Sep 17, 2012 9:38 AM | Comments (24)  | QuickLink: Permalink
The Grave of the Hundred Head | “They Kill Four Of Ours, You Kill 400 Of Theirs”

There's a widow in sleepy Chester
Who weeps for her only son;
There's a grave on the Pabeng River,
A grave that the Burmans shun,
And there's Subadar Prag Tewarri
Who tells how the work was done.

A Snider squibbed in the jungle,
Somebody laughed and fled,
And the men of the First Shikaris
Picked up their Subaltern dead,
With a big blue mark in his forehead
And the back blown out of his head.

Subadar Prag Tewarri,
Jemadar Hira Lal,
Took command of the party,
Twenty rifles in all,
Marched them down to the river
As the day was beginning to fall.

They buried the boy by the river,
A blanket over his face--
They wept for their dead Lieutenant,
The men of an alien race--
They made a samadh in his honor,
A mark for his resting-place.

For they swore by the Holy Water,
They swore by the salt they ate,
That the soul of Lieutenant Eshmitt Sahib
Should go to his God in state;
With fifty file of Burman
To open him Heaven's gate.

Continued...

Posted by Vanderleun Sep 14, 2012 12:02 PM | Comments (20)  | QuickLink: Permalink
"Verily I say unto thee, That this day, even in this night, before the cock crow twice, thou shalt deny me thrice."
Continued...

Posted by gerardvanderleun Sep 6, 2012 11:12 AM | Comments (12)  | QuickLink: Permalink
September Song: Hillary Busy Attending a Meeting of Her Real People

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"Happy Daze Are Here Again!" U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, seen in an image taken from between a video camera and its cameraman, attended a joint news conference with her Chinese counterpart at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing Wednesday.

Continued...

Posted by gerardvanderleun Sep 5, 2012 3:04 PM | Comments (7)  | QuickLink: Permalink
Democrats Reminisce at the DNC



Posted by gerardvanderleun Sep 5, 2012 10:31 AM | Comments (2)  | QuickLink: Permalink
ObamaZombies: They Only Come Out at Night!
Continued...

Posted by gerardvanderleun Sep 5, 2012 8:53 AM | Comments (16)  | QuickLink: Permalink
Neil Armstrong Tribute

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"Using pencils, Photoshop and Illustrator, UK-based Mitchell Nelson has created a striking tribute poster to Neil Armstrong. The project shows an illustration of the first man on the moon on one side and a typographic piece of Armstrong's most famous quote, "That's one small step for a man, one giant leap for mankind," on the other." -- Neil Armstrong / Tribute Poster on the Behance Network

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Posted by gerardvanderleun Sep 4, 2012 8:32 PM | Comments (4)  | QuickLink: Permalink
Ending the Endless 2-Minute Hate: ScottM Comments

"Until non-liberals understand that hate and violence are the fundamental characteristics of the "liberal" they have no hope of defeating them.

"As someone that grew up poor and lived and schooled among minorities, anti-white racism is endemic among them. In many "communities" the highest achievement is to demonstrate in every way they are apart from Whitey. Not once in private have I heard one minority scold/correct another minority for even vicious anti-white racist statements.

"Today's "liberalism" is about raw power. There may be a few "liberals" that still think "giving stuff away" will help someone. Mostly, being on the left is about getting on the right side of the billy club swing. In their mind all of US history has been you, or people like you, beating them with the billy club. The Left really believes you, and others like you, need to be beaten by any means necessary. You are sub-human in their mind and their pursuit of "social justice" justifies whatever they have to do to you. This is why the bad habit conservatives have of exempting contempt for the liberals near them is so destructive.

"Liberals have the hate to power a 24/7 fight. We think we only need to fight on election day every few years and then go back to our lives. That is how we've gotten into our current position. Things won't change until we change. Stop deciding what is comfortable and then adjusting your action to remain comfortable." -- ScottM: Side-Lines: Male Flight Attendant Down on Glenn Beck? Wonder Why?



Posted by gerardvanderleun Sep 4, 2012 7:42 PM | Comments (4)  | QuickLink: Permalink
[Not A] Parody

I love to contemplate the hours of takes that O had to perform to get this "right."

Continued...

Posted by gerardvanderleun Sep 4, 2012 12:54 PM | Comments (5)  | QuickLink: Permalink
Handy Hints from Hillbuzz

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The corrupt media has a constant agenda to help Barack Obama

The reason Obama won in 2008 was because so many white people wanted to feel good about themselves and prove they were not racist that the raced to vote in the first black president.  They were thrilled to do it and wanted to make history.  At the same time, there was a giant slice of Republicans who didn’t like McCain and also somewhat didn’t feel good about standing in the way of the first black president.  So they let Obama win, thinking it would not be that bad.  They joked "What'€™s the worse than can happen?  He can'€™t be worse than Carter!"€.
There'€™s no pressure for suburban white people to prove they aren'€™t racist again by re-electing President Disappointment.  At the same time, those Republicans who stupidly sat the election out in 2008 aren'€™t going to do that again.  If someone is sitting out this year too, that person is just brain dead.  AND that person just wants negative attention and is likely to never vote.  Ignore that person from now on.
Blacks are the most racist voters in this country at the moment and will indeed support Barack Obama in the 90-100% range…but how many will really turn out on Election Day? They won’t vote AGAINST Obama, but they might not bother to go vote for him.



Posted by gerardvanderleun Sep 4, 2012 12:41 PM | Comments (5)  | QuickLink: Permalink
Deja Voodoo All Over Again

Just pay the money and put this on heavy rotation on all channels for the next 60 days and... mission accomplished



Posted by gerardvanderleun Sep 3, 2012 10:18 AM | Comments (5)  | QuickLink: Permalink
40 Clint Eastwood Quotes Illustrating the Obama Years



Posted by gerardvanderleun Sep 2, 2012 8:55 PM | Comments (3)  | QuickLink: Permalink
Strike Up the Bland! The Dementocratic Party Gets Its Freak On

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By the one and only i Maksim

Ad Meretricem Caesaris
To abortionist Sandra Fluke, on her campaign tour for Barack Hussein Obama.

Alas, the name has come to wrap itself around
Your putrid frame, a second skin that might astound
All onlookers with eyes of pity as they gaze
At one so lacking shame. If ever you amaze,
Tis not by beauty long since tainted and disgraced
As much by outward use as your polluted thoughts,
(With women, it is from within that beauty rots),
Nor woman's modesty by servile lust effaced,
Much less the antique charms of gentle ladies past
Whose looks commanded armies and their fame outlast;
Oh no! Your fascination is the gutter kind,
But with a special twist for which you're most maligned:
That you should prostitute your leaden mind to Hate,
To service -- in full view -- The Phallus of the State.

-- Kenneth Kyntale on Sandra Fluke

"The DNC's main groups, of course, are lawyers, public sector workers, half-educated college students, African-Americans, part of the Hispanic community, secular Jews, and what Ann Coulter brilliantly called "stupid single women" who want the government to be their husband. All of these groups, with the possible exception of some of the lawyers, are under pressure, worse off than they were four years ago, and not likely to turn out in the numbers seen in 2008.
"The situation is dire for the Democrats. The convention can only be about one thing: hate. They have to generate irrational hate and fear, and trust that will motivate their deteriorating base to vote." -- The DiploMad 2.0: Thinking About the DNC


Posted by gerardvanderleun Sep 2, 2012 7:20 PM | Comments (10)  | QuickLink: Permalink
Critical Weekend News Shortage Strikes Michigan

Large yard blob identified as mushroom

ROCHESTER HILLS, Mich., Aug. 30 (UPI) -- A Michigan family said a "weird looking" white blob they discovered in the yard turned out to be a large mushroom.

Linda Key, 53, of Rochester Hills, and her husband, Glenn, 52, said the blob, which is about the size of a basketball and weighs nearly 2 pounds, was first spotted Sunday among the rocks lining their flower bed, the Detroit Free Press reported Thursday.

"We didn't know if it was going to start walking away or what. It was so weird looking," Glenn Key said.

The couple's son, Wyatt, 13, likened the object to something out of a sci-fi movie.

"The whole experience has been very weird ... looking at it, thinking it's an alien egg," he said.

However, mushroom experts identified the object as a fungus commonly called a puffball.



Posted by gerardvanderleun Sep 2, 2012 8:59 AM | Comments (5)  | QuickLink: Permalink
Horse Riding Fitness Ace Power! aka VAG BLASTER 9000!

Ah, those orientals. Masters of imitation!



Posted by gerardvanderleun Sep 1, 2012 4:06 PM | QuickLink: Permalink
G2E Media GmbH

MONTHLY ARCHIVES


SIDELINES

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By Mail: Gerard Van der Leun | 6616-D Clark Road #176 | Paradise, CA 95969

Your Shower Is Lame, Your Dishwasher Doesn’t Work, and Your Clothes are Dirty

It’s not just about the showerhead.
The water pressure in our homes and apartments has been gradually getting worse for two decades, thanks to EPA mandates on state and local governments. This has meant that even with a good showerhead, the shower is not as good as it might be. It also means that less water is running through our pipes, causing lines to clog and homes to stink just slightly like the sewer. This problem is much more difficult to fix, especially because plumbers are forbidden by law from hacking your water pressure. | Foundation for Economic Education [HT: Never Yet Melted]


In 2016 the Western political system had a stroke.

The American political system is operating in the curious condition of being an impaired state.
It's not really thinking -- about China, Russia, Syria, Kurdistan. It's not really thinking about anything except half remembered slogans from 1968. Like a person afflicted by a stroke, it can't take a consistent view of external reality because it's regressing into atavisms by a loss of brain function. Impaired


Fake News. At the same time of the political putsch, the mainstream media outlets,

in particular the Washington Post, the New York Times, CNN, MSNBC, and the major networks, via broadcasts and social media, began an orchestrated campaign of defamation and delegitimization.
The crazier and more diverse the media mythologies, the better. Melania Trump was a former call girl and illegal alien. Ivanka Trump was peddling her business wares from the West Wing. Jared Kushner was a profiteering collusionist. Steve Bannon was a racist, Sebastian Gorka an unrepentant Nazi. Baron Trump was a spoiled, autistic child. The late elder Trump had run a racist campaign for mayor. And on and on. Resistance & Regime Change: Any Means Necessary – Lies, Leaks, Violence | National Review


Crime simply does not pay as well as politics or banking.

That may be the way to look at something like the Clinton Foundation and, coming soon, the Obama Foundation.
These are not explicitly criminal organizations, but they certainly play outside the spirit of the laws. Obama is out of office and prohibited from running again, but he still controls the Democratic party. The Clintons would be in charge, if not for the fact that the voters took their under boss out in the Tuesday Night Massacre, otherwise known as the presidential election. Even so, the Clinton Family is still a player. Late Phase Capitalism | The Z Blog


Bodymore, Murderville”

Most whites have become habituated to the reality of life in this part of the world.
Everyone, white and black, knows the reality on the street. The blacks with anything on the ball do exactly like the whites and that’s put distance between themselves and the black ghetto. That does not stop the Progressive maniacs from ranting about racism, but they do it from high up in the towers of their whites-only neighborhoods. As a result, no one hears them and so they can be ignored. The Killing Season | The Z Blog


New Blog Arriving Soon

Some have asked, "Gee whiz, Unca Gerard, where is that thar new blog you keeps a promisin'?"

I am hoping for sometime tonight. Hoping. We've been having some issues getting this winged dinosaur landed.


Drink Tea

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Drink tea, together with your friends; pay attention to the tea, and to your friends, and pay attention to your friends paying attention to the tea. Therein lies the meaning of life. The Essence of Peopling

We would love to cut a deal with the noble indigenous peoples across the Earth—

you can have your Navajo panties and aboriginal dot paintings and every last freaking burrito on the planet so long as you give us back our computers and cell phones and cars and indoor plumbing and electricity and air conditioners. Deal?

If people go their separate ways such a divorce would be an astonishing defeat for the Left.

As late as 2016 it was possible to imagine an America led to a "progressive" future by Hillary Clinton;
an EU guiding all of Europe to a similar destiny and the G20 taking the whole world to the same destination. Indeed everyone told they were fated to follow an Arc of History. Yet after Brexit, Trump and G-Zero it is no longer possible to visualize this outcome. A blue-red division would confirm the failure to create a "progressive" world. No conceivable rollback will ever put Humpty Dumpty together again. Opportunity


Trump, Julius Caesar, and killing tyrants

The Roman lower classes, with whom Caesar was popular, became enraged that a small group of aristocrats had sacrificed Caesar. -- neoneocon

Execute Trump? Nah, You First.

Draining the swamp means not only ejecting Trump from the presidency,
but also bringing himself and everyone assisting in his agenda up on charges of treason. They must be convicted (there is little room to doubt their guilt). And then — upon receiving guilty verdicts — they must all be executed under the law. Impeachment Is No Longer Enough; Donald Trump Must Face Justice | HuffPost [Retreived from GoogleCache after it was expunged from the Huffington Post]


A bee in her bonnet

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Thousands of bees took over a car in the UK and beekeepers are struggling to make them leave -
At first it wasn't clear why the bees chose the blue Nissan car and he and a colleague were trying to determine whether this was just a temporary stop or a new nesting site. But as the bees moved to the inside of the bonnet, filling every nook and cranny, things got more serious. "They're building a lot of wax in there now, and of course once they start doing that, they're reluctant to leave it, because it's the start of building a house. They put a lot of effort into producing the wax," Coulson told Hull Daily Mail. "I've got a feeling this might be their chosen permanent home."


[Bumped] "They send one of ours to the hospital, we send two of theirs to the morgue."

Baseball Shooter a Big Wake-Up Call for the Left | Roger L. SimonRobespierre is alive and well in 2017 USA.

This pathetic character in Alexandria is, now was, the left's ungoverned id. By any means necessary -- that's for sure. They will undoubtedly try to shove him under the rug as quickly as possible, just one more aberrant individual to be forgotten, just one obscure Bernie volunteer gone bad. Sanders did his best to separate himself within minutes of the revelation. Yes, it's undoubtedly true that this was just one rotten apple, but it's also true that only five years ago Bernie was recommending Venezuela -- now ground zero for starvation, kidnapping and murder -- as a path for us to emulate.



Greatest antitheft device when the thieves are millenials:

Man leads Jeffco deputies on low-speed chase in stolen flatbed truck after unable to get out of 1st gear The driver - later identified as 29-year-old Randy Dewayne Vert - refused to stop and continued driving south on Center Point Parkway, Christian said. Vert was apparently unfamiliar with the complexities of a modern manual transmission.

The natural impulse of a political system in institutional crisis is to dig in.

Too many institutions in the West remain decades after their birth, frozen in the moment of their creation.
NASA, the Southern Poverty Law Center, the university system and the United Nations rule us from the past. Public life has become a museum of memes from which nothing can escape without a mummy hand dragging the fugitive back into the darkened interior. It is perhaps no coincidence the two most popular leaders of the Western left, Jeremy Corbyn and Bernie Sanders, might credibly impersonate Boris Karloff. They are here to lead us back to 1968. Stuck


The Japanese. Nuked Too Much... or Trying to Get Their Mouths Around Fujiyama Volcano Plate

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We put Japan's most phallic-looking roast beef meal into our mouth at VolcanoKitchen | SoraNews24
Since we’d already become somewhat desensitized to the initially unsettling sensation of peeling strips of meat off the top of the shaft, we mercilessly crushed the egg, sending viscous, gooey liquid running down to the base of the meat rod.
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The power of the press is a figment of the imagination -- humbug --

Oscar Diggs behind the curtain projecting the image of Oz the Great and Powerful!
The Internet did not kill the power of the newspapers. It was suicide. And not just because most of them had Marxist editorials, editors, and reporters. Newspapers lost their sense of community -- and their credibility -- when the heirs to hometown publishers didn't want the paper, sold it to a chain for $1,000 per subscriber to a chain -- Gannett, Knight-Ridder, Thomson -- and moved on. Don Surber: Craigslist killed newspapers


When terrorists enter your children’s school and begin to execute them...

will the gun ban (you favored) in school that prevented abiding staff and teachers from saving your child, come to mind as a good idea?
If the answer to any or all of these and many more reasonable questions, is 'yes,' then you may be a delusional liberal, and likely a coward, and almost as big a threat to our nation as the terrorists who are at war with us." - Morgan K. Freeberg


"Happy birthday, Mr. President...."

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First truth which has been grounded into dust, must spring forth from the earth again.

At the present time . . .he who practices loving-kindness is esteemed and sought after, while he who champions the truth in word and in deed is persecuted and shunned. 
For men desire to base their affairs on everything except the one incorruptible truth which has been set down before us by God , and therefore these affairs have no permanent value . . . only when love and truth meet together, only when men come to understand that the highest act of loving-kindness is to bring men to know and practice the truth, only then will the marriage of love and truth produce that condition on earth in which everyone and everything will occupy the place which has been assigned to it by the will of God. Truth and Peace - Men Of The West


What happened to Nuclear Winter?

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As the media glare faded, its robust scenario appeared less persuasive;
John Maddox, editor of Nature, repeatedly criticized its claims; within a year, Stephen Schneider, one of the leading figures in the climate model, began to speak of "nuclear autumn." It just didn't have the same ring. A final media embarrassment came in 1991, when Carl Sagan predicted on Nightline that Kuwaiti oil fires would produce a nuclear winter effect, causing a "year without a summer," and endangering crops around the world. Sagan stressed this outcome was so likely that "it should affect the war plans." None of it happened. Raconteur Report: Aliens Cause Global Warming by Michael Crichton


If it's consensus, it isn't science. If it's science, it isn't consensus.

I regard consensus science as an extremely pernicious development that ought to be stopped cold in its tracks.
Historically, the claim of consensus has been the first refuge of scoundrels; it is a way to avoid debate by claiming that the matter is already settled. Consensus is the business of politics. Science, on the contrary, requires only one investigator who happens to be right, which means that he or she has results that are verifiable by reference to the real world. The greatest scientists in history are great precisely because they broke with the consensus. - - Woodpile Report


Joe Biden’s niece dodges jail after $100K credit card scam

She walks on a major felony? Of course she did. And who believes she'll keep her end of the deal? In her defense, we're assured she's "a very complicated girl who has a lot of feelings and a lot of issues." Oh ... okay. That explains everything. Hugs from all the little people. Woodpile Report

Why is English so weirdly different from other languages?

There is exactly one language on Earth whose present tense requires a special ending only in the third‑person singular.
I’m writing in it. I talk, you talk, he/she talk-s – why just that? The present‑tense verbs of a normal language have either no endings or a bunch of different ones (Spanish: hablo, hablas, habla). And try naming another language where you have to slip do into sentences to negate or question something. Do you find that difficult? | Aeon Essays



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