WHEN in the course of human Events, it becomes necessary….
What the Kremlin Says About … you know…
byVanderleunonMarch 26, 2022
One month into the Russian special operation in the Ukraine
The Beast woke up in pitch darkness
And the price was named to God.
Everybody has caved in – even our brothers in Christ,
Everything has caved in – but not my country.
(translated lyrics from the song “Donbass is with us”)
Here is a machine translated summary of events following one month of combat operations as posted by Boris Rozhin (aka Col. Cassad):
1. The offensive of the Russian troops disrupted the plans of the AFU offensive on the DPR and LPR using artillery, missile systems and aviation.
2. On January 22, Russian intelligence intercepted the order of General Balan on the need to complete preparations for offensive actions before February 28, so that the AFU could go on the offensive in March.
3. The operation is progressing according to plan. The main tasks of the first stage of the operation have already been completed.
4. The main priority remains the preservation of civilian lives. Hence the tactics of precision strikes on the military infrastructure and the armed forces of the enemy.
5. The blocking of large cities ensures the shackling of the AFU forces and does not allow the Ukrainian command to transfer reinforcements to the Donbass. The main operation at the moment is in the Donbas. 276 settlements have already been liberated in the DPR and LPR. 93% of the territory of the LPR and 54% of the territory of the DPR have been liberated. The group currently defending in Mariupol has more than 7,000 people.
6. Air supremacy was won by the Russian Aerospace Forces in the first two days of the operation. The organized air defense system, the Ukrainian Air Force and the Ukrainian Navy have virtually ceased to exist.
7. Up to 70% of all military stocks of Ukraine were destroyed as a result of systematic attacks on warehouses. 30 key facilities of the military-industrial complex of Ukraine were destroyed. 68% of enterprises where military equipment was repaired have already been destroyed. At the same time, since the beginning of the Special Military Operation, the Ukrainian army has already destroyed 127 bridges.
8. All the organized reserves of the Armed Forces of Ukraine have already been put into operation, there are no new ones. Hence the bet on the mobilization of the untrained contingent. According to the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation, 6595 foreign mercenaries are fighting in Ukraine.
9. Total losses of the AFU during the month of operation. About 14,000 killed and about 16,000 wounded (the total losses of the AFU group in the Donbas account for 26% of the personnel). Of the 2,416 combat-ready tanks and Armored Fighting Vehicles on February 24, 1,587 were destroyed in a month. 112 out of 152 military aircraft were destroyed, 75 out of 149 helicopters, 35 out of 36 Bayraktar TB2 drones were destroyed. Out of 180 S-300 and Buk M1 – 148, out of 300 radars for various purposes – 117.
The Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation will promptly respond to any attempts to close the airspace of Ukraine for the Russian Aerospace Forces.
10. According to the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation, at least 10 Ukrainian sea mines are now drifting uncontrollably in the Black Sea, posing a threat to navigation.
11. The Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation handed over captured weapons to the DPR and LPR. Among other things, 113 tanks and 138 ATGM “Javelin” were transferred.
More than 23,000 applications have been received from citizens of 37 states wishing to fight for the DPR and LPR. There are also a lot of such applications from Russian citizens.
12. Official losses since the beginning of ITS. Killed – 1351. Wounded – 3825.
Russia will have succeeded if it can dominate the central European countries, the Baltic states and Finland, and the Scandinavian nations. Also, it will have won if it has more negotiating power over Western Europe, the EU, and NATO. Specifically, it will have won if it can depose the government of Ukraine and take Kiev. Nominally, but don’t kid yourself it is as good as critical that they: destroy the Ukrainian military. This means rendering it combat ineffective and receiving the surrender or stand-down of the Uke military and the Uke military will have become incapable of defensive or offensive operations.
The Russians had, it is obvious to anyone, designs on taking all of Ukraine, including the Western part and Lviv. These are the classic measures of victory throughout history. Some of these initiatives were stated but all of them were expressed through operations.
Russia has gone over to the defense. The offense is where you make decisions rendering changes and you achieve your own national objectives. Defense is where you deny the changes of the attacker. No more offensive: Russia loses the decisive measure. They won’t depose the Ukrainian government (unless they think they can negotiate it to death). They won’t take any major cities (yes, they have locked up the Ukrainian military by investing the cities. However, if you don’t take them, they remain on your flanks and in your rear area). Watch for Russia to try to negotiate the clearing of Kharkov and other big cities in the East, in exchange for something. I predict Ukraine won’t give up its cities but who knows.
Any elementary school kid (from rural America) can see how Russia can claim victory if it consolidates the eastern portion of Ukraine already taken, but now that is obviously a White Victory.
As I said before, Russia takes half. Half of: Georgia, Finland, Poland, and half of Europe just so they could get half of Germany and a quarter of Berlin. For Russia, half-taken is taken. Ukraine will remain (as things now look to stand) a west-looking nation, Central Europe will see that Russia hasn’t got the military power to defeat them, and NATO is suddenly relevant and active and much stronger than Russia.
Next moves. Ukraine should take wrecked battle tanks and vehicles and create a display of them in The Maiden in Kiev. Hold a victory parade using captured Russian vehicles, and their own military. Make fun of Russia internationally and make the point that Russia is a weak power. With nukes.
The West needs to get to the point where it can demand Russia begin to dismantle her nuclear weapons stockpile.
I know you don’t want a unipolar world but FFS you also don’t want this Russia as it is now constructed.
Even if 25% of the shit Russia says in its report as printed are true, the facts are it has lost the momentum and the offensive has been deflated. You don’t win and then stop short of your war goals. Little Finland beat Russia like a redheaded stepchild, twice, in 39′-44, and then beat Germany’s ass like a cur dog. On paper, the 2 wars Russia fought with Finland were wins for them, but everybody knew the truth.
This Ukraine-Russian War is very much like the Finnish Wars, only minus the elegance of the Finnish ski troops.
I’m digging that bottle of Russian Vodka out of the freezer tonight. Muck Fother Russia! Sideways!
hooodathunkitMarch 28, 2022, 10:06 AM
Dunno where you get the ‘inside scoop’ Russia is trying to take anything other than eastern Ukraine, but there is no evidence the invasion/special operation is anything except what Putin has been warning he would do for …. a decade. Ten-plus years he’s been open about what Russia would accept and what it wouldn’t.
I am sympathetic to Russia and I am opposed to Russia’s invasion; they are not dissonant positions.
What I’m opposed to is the global elite (our betters!) fomenting a revolution in Ukraine, ousting the elected president, and our State Department hand-picking Ukraine’s leadership. We (that is you and me) then encouraged Ukraine to “poke the bear” and pass laws against their Russian-speaking population, fomenting another revolt, a low-level civil war. Not satisfied, State encouraged Ukraine to apply for NATO admission, a long-standing Russian redline.
Putin’s record and positions are clear and there is no shred of evidence he wants or intends to take anything beyond a protectorate of the Donbass; the eastern Ukraine provinces. The idea Putin wants a Soviet revival, a neo-Empire, or ‘half of Europe’ is all delusional projection. Nothing supports that. The military operations show the forces needed to dominate eastern provinces and a corridor to Sevastopol, while blocking or paralyzing the capital and Ukrainian reinforcements.
This is what the facts support, but if you have accurate information otherwise please share it.
KCKMarch 28, 2022, 2:33 PM
“Special operation” is Russian double-speak for what historically is called “war”. What a special operation is, is paratroops and/or Spetnaz forces flying into Kiev airports like Cossacks on meth, and then failing. Special Ops is what highly powdered infantry do deep behind enemy lines, or at the pointy end of the spear, and BTW Russia is over reliant on SpecOps. So, the propaganda of naming the war a special thing is hard to swallow, and yet here you come with it.
Fuck Russia not wanting NATO or Ukrainian independence. That is some shit, isn’t it? The sub text of this war is: Ukraine and NATO will damn well do as they see fit, and what army will you bring to change that?
The brief from Russia saying it attacked cities to pin down enemy forces is a joke in several ways. Firstly, it isn’t true. You cannot pin down one fifth of the amount of forces that you employ, and call that a pin down. You can create a ruse, but you do that with an economy of force, not a surfeit. Secondly, the Russians took almost no, as in zero, major cities. The first one they did take is back in Ukrainian hands and Ulkraine is giving Russians hell in most city battles, and pushing the Russians back. Taking Kiev, expressed as deposing Zelinsky, is not a ruse or a pin down. It was an expressed goal.
In point of fact, Russia engages in the West with indirect fires, and is present on the West side of the Dnieper River in two major places. In addition, observers from military think tanks identified the 3 major axis in the war as being pointed at Kiev, with the fighting in the South a very important secondary front.
I didn’t say he wants half of Europe, although he does harbor a wet dream of rolling through Berlin and into The Hague. That is mentioned and shown on the Russian mouthpiece YouTube channel: Caspian Report. What I did say was that the Russians “take half” historically – that means looking back.
Your reading comprehension is kinda low. Dude, do you even read?
Your comment reads like a Russian Pravda brief.
KCKMarch 28, 2022, 2:49 PM
The Caspian Report (YouTube) has posted pro-Russia things, but I see where they posted about Russia’s strategic defeat (correct). So, I won’t damn them yet as a content channel.
hooodathunkitMarch 28, 2022, 11:50 PM
About a quarter century ago, George Kennan predicted all this —including your reaction— to the ‘T’. Opposing Clinton and Albright’s NATO expansion plans, Kennan said, “I think the Russians will gradually react quite adversely and it will affect their policies. I think it is a tragic mistake.” He went on to predict NATO expansion would provoke a crisis, after which the proponents of expansion would “… say that we always told you that is how the Russians are.” [emphasis added]
John Mearsheimer also predicted this mess (Foreign Affairs, Sept 2014) pointing out Russia is a declining power, that “even if it wanted to, Russia lacks the capability to easily conquer and annex eastern Ukraine, much less the entire country.” Putin has been thinking and acting according to realist dictates, realpolitik, while the West has stuck to liberal ideas about international politics.
You’re losing it, leading with your ‘feels’ and not facing the reality on the ground. Not sure what to make of your sudden support for the foreign-policies of Clinton, Bush Jr, Obama, Soros, and our Vegetable-in-Chief.
According to Lars, a Dane living in the Russian Far East, as of today gasoline is still around $1.90 a gallon, the shelves in his local grocery are pretty full, no radical price changes (here’s a like to his youtube channel; https://youtu.be/qgeJJeeAsuU).
According to the NY Post, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink says Ukraine war spells end of globalization. If true, I read it as good news.
Our betters have removed works by Tchaikovsky, Shostakovich and Rachmaninoff from concert programs. Works by Dostoevsky are being removed form university courses.
Wonder if we are on the right side.
gwbnycMarch 26, 2022, 6:10 PM
I would take any reports from any quarter as propaganda.
Propaganda, every stinking article or news clip, propaganda. I’m amused you all talk as if your contributions from gods lips to your ears.
Warriors one and all! Some o you boys might should settle down, strokes and high blood pressure n shit, at your ages. AND,,,, a seventh Russian general DRT,,,,,,, 7 really! Who writes this nonsense?
Meanwich StinkburgerMarch 26, 2022, 7:26 PM
Biden’s handlers said regime change is the goal in Poland and Ivan will take that seriously.
Order up as the Kamal said about voting and WWIII it is.
Selective Service says no shirking in the unity collective and recruiting offices are open to go and defend the 51st state.
Forward! Yes you can!
HylandMarch 27, 2022, 7:25 AM
This is a speech Putin gave in October underlining his resolve to keep Russia out of the satanistic squalor that the US and so many other countries are wallowing in. https://tinyurl.com/mvs7w4ym
ghostsniperMarch 27, 2022, 6:36 PM
My echo:
“Oh what I wouldn’t give to hear someone in the west say such words! It is bizarre how roles are now reversed and Russia is emerging as a stable, sane society….”
Regime Change!,,,,,, those are fighting words. Na, the douche bag from Delawares has never understood accountability, he’ll he’s been a politician fifty years. Na he’s gonna keep fucking around and get a bunch of our countries finest kilt!
His Freudian slip when speaking to the 82nd in Poland few days back,,,, was no Freudian slip.
But World War is exactly what’s coming, once again douche bags , twits politicians are a responsible.
You live in a bigger city you best be planning the back road boogie!
Gracie KayMarch 27, 2022, 5:19 PM
I have been doing this job for like a few weeks and my last weekly payment was exactly 2537 dollars. See
Real World Address for Donations, Mash Notes and Hate Mail
Gerard Van der Leun
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Who Am I? by Carl Sandburg
My head knocks against the stars.
My feet are on the hilltops.
My finger-tips are in the valleys and shores of universal life.
Down in the sounding foam of primal things I reach my hands and play with pebbles of destiny.
I have been to hell and back many times.
I know all about heaven, for I have talked with God.
I dabble in the blood and guts of the terrible.
I know the passionate seizure of beauty
And the marvelous rebellion of man at all signs reading “Keep Off.”
My name is Truth and I am the most elusive captive in the universe.
Duty, Beauty, Liberty, Country, Honor, Family, Faith — Plus a few simple easy to follow rules for guys
Men saw the stars at the edge of the sea
They thought great thoughts about liberty
Poets wrote down words that did fit
Writers wrote books
Thinkers thought about it
Take it where you find it
Can’t leave it alone
You will find a purpose
To carry it on
Mainly when you find it
Your heart will be strong
About it
Many’s the road I have walked upon
Many’s the hour between dusk and dawn
Many’s the time
Many’s the mile
I see it all now
Through the eyes of a child
Take it where you find it
Can’t leave it alone
You will find a purpose
To carry it on
Mainly when you find it
Your heart will be strong
About it
[Chorus]
Lost dreams and found dreams
In America
In America
In America
Lost dreams and found dreams
In America
In America
In America
And close your eyes
Leave it all for a while
Leave the world
And your worries behind
You will build on whatever is real
And wake up each day
To a new waking dream
Take it where you find it
Can’t leave it alone
You will find a purpose
To carry it on
Mainly when you find it
Your heart will be strong
About it
[Chorus]
Change, change come over
Change come over
Talkin’ about a change
Change, change
Change come over, now
Change, change, change come over
I’m gonna walk down the street
Until I see
My shining light
I’m gonna walk down the street
Until I see
My shining light
I’m gonna walk down the street
Until I see
My shining light
I’m gonna walk down the street
Until I see
My shining light
I see my light
See my light
See my shining light
I see my light
See my light
See my shining light
One month into the Russian special operation in the Ukraine
Gerard Van der Leun
Comments on this entry are closed.
Russia will have succeeded if it can dominate the central European countries, the Baltic states and Finland, and the Scandinavian nations. Also, it will have won if it has more negotiating power over Western Europe, the EU, and NATO. Specifically, it will have won if it can depose the government of Ukraine and take Kiev. Nominally, but don’t kid yourself it is as good as critical that they: destroy the Ukrainian military. This means rendering it combat ineffective and receiving the surrender or stand-down of the Uke military and the Uke military will have become incapable of defensive or offensive operations.
The Russians had, it is obvious to anyone, designs on taking all of Ukraine, including the Western part and Lviv. These are the classic measures of victory throughout history. Some of these initiatives were stated but all of them were expressed through operations.
Russia has gone over to the defense. The offense is where you make decisions rendering changes and you achieve your own national objectives. Defense is where you deny the changes of the attacker. No more offensive: Russia loses the decisive measure. They won’t depose the Ukrainian government (unless they think they can negotiate it to death). They won’t take any major cities (yes, they have locked up the Ukrainian military by investing the cities. However, if you don’t take them, they remain on your flanks and in your rear area). Watch for Russia to try to negotiate the clearing of Kharkov and other big cities in the East, in exchange for something. I predict Ukraine won’t give up its cities but who knows.
Any elementary school kid (from rural America) can see how Russia can claim victory if it consolidates the eastern portion of Ukraine already taken, but now that is obviously a White Victory.
As I said before, Russia takes half. Half of: Georgia, Finland, Poland, and half of Europe just so they could get half of Germany and a quarter of Berlin. For Russia, half-taken is taken. Ukraine will remain (as things now look to stand) a west-looking nation, Central Europe will see that Russia hasn’t got the military power to defeat them, and NATO is suddenly relevant and active and much stronger than Russia.
Next moves. Ukraine should take wrecked battle tanks and vehicles and create a display of them in The Maiden in Kiev. Hold a victory parade using captured Russian vehicles, and their own military. Make fun of Russia internationally and make the point that Russia is a weak power. With nukes.
The West needs to get to the point where it can demand Russia begin to dismantle her nuclear weapons stockpile.
I know you don’t want a unipolar world but FFS you also don’t want this Russia as it is now constructed.
Even if 25% of the shit Russia says in its report as printed are true, the facts are it has lost the momentum and the offensive has been deflated. You don’t win and then stop short of your war goals. Little Finland beat Russia like a redheaded stepchild, twice, in 39′-44, and then beat Germany’s ass like a cur dog. On paper, the 2 wars Russia fought with Finland were wins for them, but everybody knew the truth.
This Ukraine-Russian War is very much like the Finnish Wars, only minus the elegance of the Finnish ski troops.
I’m digging that bottle of Russian Vodka out of the freezer tonight. Muck Fother Russia! Sideways!
Dunno where you get the ‘inside scoop’ Russia is trying to take anything other than eastern Ukraine, but there is no evidence the invasion/special operation is anything except what Putin has been warning he would do for …. a decade. Ten-plus years he’s been open about what Russia would accept and what it wouldn’t.
I am sympathetic to Russia and I am opposed to Russia’s invasion; they are not dissonant positions.
What I’m opposed to is the global elite (our betters!) fomenting a revolution in Ukraine, ousting the elected president, and our State Department hand-picking Ukraine’s leadership. We (that is you and me) then encouraged Ukraine to “poke the bear” and pass laws against their Russian-speaking population, fomenting another revolt, a low-level civil war. Not satisfied, State encouraged Ukraine to apply for NATO admission, a long-standing Russian redline.
Putin’s record and positions are clear and there is no shred of evidence he wants or intends to take anything beyond a protectorate of the Donbass; the eastern Ukraine provinces. The idea Putin wants a Soviet revival, a neo-Empire, or ‘half of Europe’ is all delusional projection. Nothing supports that. The military operations show the forces needed to dominate eastern provinces and a corridor to Sevastopol, while blocking or paralyzing the capital and Ukrainian reinforcements.
This is what the facts support, but if you have accurate information otherwise please share it.
“Special operation” is Russian double-speak for what historically is called “war”. What a special operation is, is paratroops and/or Spetnaz forces flying into Kiev airports like Cossacks on meth, and then failing. Special Ops is what highly powdered infantry do deep behind enemy lines, or at the pointy end of the spear, and BTW Russia is over reliant on SpecOps. So, the propaganda of naming the war a special thing is hard to swallow, and yet here you come with it.
Fuck Russia not wanting NATO or Ukrainian independence. That is some shit, isn’t it? The sub text of this war is: Ukraine and NATO will damn well do as they see fit, and what army will you bring to change that?
The brief from Russia saying it attacked cities to pin down enemy forces is a joke in several ways. Firstly, it isn’t true. You cannot pin down one fifth of the amount of forces that you employ, and call that a pin down. You can create a ruse, but you do that with an economy of force, not a surfeit. Secondly, the Russians took almost no, as in zero, major cities. The first one they did take is back in Ukrainian hands and Ulkraine is giving Russians hell in most city battles, and pushing the Russians back. Taking Kiev, expressed as deposing Zelinsky, is not a ruse or a pin down. It was an expressed goal.
In point of fact, Russia engages in the West with indirect fires, and is present on the West side of the Dnieper River in two major places. In addition, observers from military think tanks identified the 3 major axis in the war as being pointed at Kiev, with the fighting in the South a very important secondary front.
I didn’t say he wants half of Europe, although he does harbor a wet dream of rolling through Berlin and into The Hague. That is mentioned and shown on the Russian mouthpiece YouTube channel: Caspian Report. What I did say was that the Russians “take half” historically – that means looking back.
Your reading comprehension is kinda low. Dude, do you even read?
Your comment reads like a Russian Pravda brief.
The Caspian Report (YouTube) has posted pro-Russia things, but I see where they posted about Russia’s strategic defeat (correct). So, I won’t damn them yet as a content channel.
About a quarter century ago, George Kennan predicted all this —including your reaction— to the ‘T’. Opposing Clinton and Albright’s NATO expansion plans, Kennan said, “I think the Russians will gradually react quite adversely and it will affect their policies. I think it is a tragic mistake.” He went on to predict NATO expansion would provoke a crisis, after which the proponents of expansion would “… say that we always told you that is how the Russians are.” [emphasis added]
John Mearsheimer also predicted this mess (Foreign Affairs, Sept 2014) pointing out Russia is a declining power, that “even if it wanted to, Russia lacks the capability to easily conquer and annex eastern Ukraine, much less the entire country.” Putin has been thinking and acting according to realist dictates, realpolitik, while the West has stuck to liberal ideas about international politics.
You’re losing it, leading with your ‘feels’ and not facing the reality on the ground. Not sure what to make of your sudden support for the foreign-policies of Clinton, Bush Jr, Obama, Soros, and our Vegetable-in-Chief.
According to Lars, a Dane living in the Russian Far East, as of today gasoline is still around $1.90 a gallon, the shelves in his local grocery are pretty full, no radical price changes (here’s a like to his youtube channel; https://youtu.be/qgeJJeeAsuU).
According to PJ media Hunter Biden was a bagman for the Ukraine bio labs; https://pjmedia.com/news-and-politics/kevindowneyjr/2022/03/26/bombshell-did-russia-invade-ukraine-because-of-the-bidens-biolabs-hunters-laptop-says-yes-n1584441
According to the NY Post, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink says Ukraine war spells end of globalization. If true, I read it as good news.
Our betters have removed works by Tchaikovsky, Shostakovich and Rachmaninoff from concert programs. Works by Dostoevsky are being removed form university courses.
Wonder if we are on the right side.
I would take any reports from any quarter as propaganda.
yep-agree 100%
heavy fog on the horizon these days, hard to make anything out for sure
SlowJoe called PootyPoot a butcher:
https://stgdesktopcore.jpost.com/international/article-702375
Thats gotta smart.
“…6595 foreign mercenaries are fighting in Ukraine…”
======
Who is paying them?
Sums it up I think…. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JG7H9UKqxT8
Propaganda, every stinking article or news clip, propaganda. I’m amused you all talk as if your contributions from gods lips to your ears.
Warriors one and all! Some o you boys might should settle down, strokes and high blood pressure n shit, at your ages. AND,,,, a seventh Russian general DRT,,,,,,, 7 really! Who writes this nonsense?
Biden’s handlers said regime change is the goal in Poland and Ivan will take that seriously.
Order up as the Kamal said about voting and WWIII it is.
Selective Service says no shirking in the unity collective and recruiting offices are open to go and defend the 51st state.
Forward! Yes you can!
This is a speech Putin gave in October underlining his resolve to keep Russia out of the satanistic squalor that the US and so many other countries are wallowing in.
https://tinyurl.com/mvs7w4ym
My echo:
“Oh what I wouldn’t give to hear someone in the west say such words! It is bizarre how roles are now reversed and Russia is emerging as a stable, sane society….”
Regime Change!,,,,,, those are fighting words. Na, the douche bag from Delawares has never understood accountability, he’ll he’s been a politician fifty years. Na he’s gonna keep fucking around and get a bunch of our countries finest kilt!
His Freudian slip when speaking to the 82nd in Poland few days back,,,, was no Freudian slip.
But World War is exactly what’s coming, once again douche bags , twits politicians are a responsible.
You live in a bigger city you best be planning the back road boogie!
I have been doing this job for like a few weeks and my last weekly payment was exactly 2537 dollars. See
More Information Here…… lsto.me/yvfit