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June 15, 2015

What if Pearl Harbor happened and nobody noticed?

The U.S. military, even in its current somewhat shrunken state,
remains an irresistible force in conventional warfare. But this trove of information is perfect for "fourth-generation warfare," in which conventional strengths are bypassed in favor of targeted attacks on a stronger nation's weaknesses. With this sort of information, China will find it much easier to recruit agents, blackmail decision-makers and — in the event of a straight-up conflict — strike directly at Americans in the government, all without launching a single missile. Glenn Reynolds:

Posted by gerardvanderleun at June 15, 2015 9:45 AM. This is an entry on the sideblog of American Digest: Check it out.

Your Say

"....strike directly at Americans in the government...."
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I'll get up off a fair quantity of my favorite legal tenders to witness a yootoob of that.

Posted by: ghostsniper [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 15, 2015 12:43 PM

No, its not pearl harbor. He's overstating things significantly. Its bad, a very major intelligence coup against the US, but not pearl harbor. That would be something like... shutting down the power plants and overloading them so utilities blow up and destroy homes with fires. Or nuking the internet so data is wiped out. Something aggressive and offensive, not simply stealing information.

Yes, its very bad, and the Obama administration continues to demonstrate that the federal government just does not grok computer security, but it isn't a huge murderous attack on the United States. Its more... something out of Mission Impossible, but Jim Phelps and company weren't around to save us this time.

Posted by: Christopher Taylor [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 15, 2015 4:07 PM

Chris, 4GW is a coming thing. Feds are planning defenses for it, patriot rebels are studying it too. Lots can be done with minimum manpower and resources, don't need much coordination except what day it is. attackers can come as a thief in the night, psychological effects will propagate themselves.

Fourth-generation Warfare

Fourth-generation warfare is characterized by a blurring of the lines between war and politics, combatants and civilians.
The term was first used in 1989 by a team of United States analysts, including William S. Lind, to describe warfare's return to a decentralized form.
In terms of generational modern warfare, the fourth generation signifies the nation states' loss of their near-monopoly on combat forces, returning to modes of conflict common in pre-modern times.
The simplest definition includes any war in which one of the major participants is not a state but rather a violent non-state actor.
Classical examples, such as the slave uprising under Spartacus or the assassination of Julius Caesar by members of the Roman Senate, predate the modern concept of warfare and are examples of this type of conflict.

Fourth generation warfare is defined as conflicts which involve the following elements:
• Are complex and long term
• Terrorism (tactic)
• A non-national or transnational base –highly decentralized
• A direct attack on the enemy's culture
• Highly sophisticated psychological warfare, especially through media manipulation and lawfare
• All available pressures are used – political, economic, social and military
• Occurs in low intensity conflict, involving actors from all networks
• Non-combatants are tactical dilemmas
• Lack of hierarchy
• Small in size, spread out network of communication and financial support
• Use of insurgency and guerrilla tactics

Posted by: chasmatic [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 15, 2015 8:53 PM

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