The supposedly über-powerful Soros-funded progressive criminal justice reform movement has gone quiet, reduced now to a handful of radical progressive columnists at newspapers who further discredit & isolate themselves by denying the Ferguson effect & blaming “the right wing”
— Michael Shellenberger (@ShellenbergerMD) December 17, 2021
Shellenberger has been getting a lot of play from the left (Andrew Sullivan et. al.) to the right ( Joe Rogan, Dave Rubin, et. al.) for his book San Fransicko. He seems to have timed it right since the collapse of the BLM George Floyd Liescraper faster than a Miami Beach condo with similar rotten foundation issues.
He summarizes the last day or so of retraction in action by various members of the NarcoCommunist Bureau of Approved Truth. in this Twitter thread:
Defund the police activist in L.A. now fears gun threats at child’s school
Defund the police activist in Oakland now so scared she removes her jewelry before pumping gas
LA Times defund activist admits “even Black Americans” don’t want to defund police
Column: Tough-on-crime politics are back in California. But Black activists aren’t giving up
After George Floyd, many Americans backed police reform. Now with a rise in crime, activists must fight changing opinion by politicians and the public.
Last year, @latimes columnist @Erika_D_Smith called for defunding the police
She now admits that defunding the police was PR disaster but claims that covid is supposedly the cause of rising homicides, not the withdrawal of police & criminal emboldenment
It’a all already over for the progressives on crime. They lost. Why?
— Record homicides in Philly+12
— Emboldened criminals, from Walgreens to Louis Vuitton
— And the progressive denial of crime, the minimization of crime, and the gas-lighting of the public experiencing crime
— Criminologists endorse Ferguson effect of withdrawing police & emboldened criminals following anti-police protests
— BLM protests must thus be viewed as major if not most important factor behind crime rise
— Delegitimizing police & criminal justice system = more crime
Now, San Francisco’s Mayor @LondonBreed has put her career on the line to crackdown on SF’s crime problem. She did so without the support of progressive TL supervisor @MattHaneySF who was caught off guard by her request for more $ for cops. Today @MattHaneySF moved to Team Breed:
Breed announced a State of Emergency and in her announcement quotes Haney: “This is a public health emergency demanding a crisis level response, with massive urgency… a declaration of an emergency will give us the tools we need to respond…”
The supposedly über-powerful Soros-funded progressive criminal justice reform movement has gone quiet, reduced now to a handful of radical progressive columnists at newspapers who further discredit & isolate themselves by denying the Ferguson effect & blaming “the right wing.”
The most important national expert on drugs & crime is @KeithNHumphreys of Stanford University. His oped, “Breed’s plan to shut down Tenderloin drug markets is progressive,” is in today’s @sfchronicle
It is the new center of a moved Overton window. Humphreys is one of the leading experts I cite in “San Fransicko,” which draws heavily on the same study that informs Humphreys oped, which is very detailed and careful study of how Austria, Frankfurt, Lisbon, Vienna, & Zurich shut down open drug scenes
Progressives misled the public about addiction, about how Europe dealt with it, and about what the best practices are for dealing with it
Best practice is *not* to enable, normalize, and legalize open-air fentanyl & meth addictions, which kill 100k people/year
Best practice is to arrest street addicts who break the law and give them the choice of rehab or jail
THAT’S what they did in Portugal.
They didn’t just do harm reduction and they certainly didn’t destigmatize meth, heroin, and fentanyl use!
Progressives similarly misled the public, including me, on crime
They said they would seek alternatives to incarceration but prog DAs mostly aren’t doing that, they’re just letting people out without probation & rehabilitation, and diversion programs aren’t working. Rather than be honest about this, progressive prosecutors and progressive activist writers have simply denied the crime rise.
Until, that is, former Philly Mayor @Michael_Nutter called out @DA_LarryKrasner for denying record homicides Krasner apologized.
Then came Breed’s speech: “When you are in a room full of people, I would say between 90% & 95% of folks could raise their hand and say that either their car has been broken into, or they’ve been a victim in some capacity or another. That is not acceptable.”
Over the last 10 days it became, suddenly, politically impossible for mainstream progressives to maintain the lie that crime wasn’t rising, which is why we’re now seeing radical progressive writers at LA Times, SF Chron saying, self-revealingly, that “Defund the Police” is bad PR.
Yes, it’s bad PR for progressives, but that’s a pretty gross and pathetic thing for columnists who, just a few months ago were thundering away about Black Lives, to take away from the loss of so many black lives to homicide
The moral center has returned to honest souls like @MistahFAB whose authenticity, sensitivity, and commitment to reality stands in sharp contrast to the progressive columnists who betray their true agenda by showing little concern for non-police homicides
Progressives can win back their credibility but they will need to
— Admit Ferguson effect of police withdrawal and criminal emboldenment is real & responsible in large measure for rise in homicides & crime
— Enforce laws & support accountability for all not victimology for few
— Genuinely seek rehab & recovery through probation as alternative to incarceration, and abandon the false idea that any engagement with crim justice system results in higher risk of incarceration. It’s been proven wrong by drug testing & drug courts.
— Shut down open drug scenes following the European model of enforcing laws against public drug use/camping/defecation; Shelter First, Housing Earned; universal psychiatry; and sufficient shelter space, supportive housing, psych beds in hospitals, group homes, & rehab clinics.
— Embrace “tough love” and “carrots and sticks”; reject victimology, anti-system radicalism, & harm reduction-only; embrace a positive view of the potential of people to recover from their illness, not a cynical view that views the sick as permanently sick victims of evil system.
A lot has changed in a few days. Philly DA reversed his crime denialism. Breed embraced tough love & shutting open drug scene. Former Gov Jerry Brown rejected public drug use. SF Sup Haney switched from Team Prog to Team Mod.
There’s much more to come, but change has begun. What happens next could make America a truly better place
The underlying problem, I concluded in “San Fransicko,” is the refusal of Americans at all levels of society, not just in government, to take responsibility
We need a new era of responsibility & accountability