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On the BLM Crimewave: Has any movement been discredited more quickly by reality than “Black Lives Matter”?

Shellenberger has been getting a lot of play from the left (Andrew Sullivan et. al.) to the right ( Joe Rogan, Dave Rubin, et. al.) for his book San Fransicko. He seems to have timed it right since the collapse of the BLM George Floyd Liescraper faster than a Miami Beach condo with similar rotten foundation issues.

He summarizes the last day or so of retraction in action by various members of the NarcoCommunist Bureau of Approved Truth. in this Twitter thread:

Thread by @ShellenbergerMD on Thread Reader App – Thread Reader App

Defund the police activist in L.A. now fears gun threats at child’s school

Defund the police activist in Oakland now so scared she removes her jewelry before pumping gas

LA Times defund activist admits “even Black Americans” don’t want to defund police

Column: Tough-on-crime politics are back in California. But Black activists aren’t giving up
After George Floyd, many Americans backed police reform. Now with a rise in crime, activists must fight changing opinion by politicians and the public.

Last year, @latimes columnist @Erika_D_Smith called for defunding the police

She now admits that defunding the police was PR disaster but claims that covid is supposedly the cause of rising homicides, not the withdrawal of police & criminal emboldenment

It’a all already over for the progressives on crime. They lost. Why?

— Record homicides in Philly+12
— Emboldened criminals, from Walgreens to Louis Vuitton
— And the progressive denial of crime, the minimization of crime, and the gas-lighting of the public experiencing crime
— Criminologists endorse Ferguson effect of withdrawing police & emboldened criminals following anti-police protests
— BLM protests must thus be viewed as major if not most important factor behind crime rise
— Delegitimizing police & criminal justice system = more crime

Now, San Francisco’s Mayor @LondonBreed has put her career on the line to crackdown on SF’s crime problem. She did so without the support of progressive TL supervisor @MattHaneySF who was caught off guard by her request for more $ for cops. Today @MattHaneySF moved to Team Breed:
Breed announced a State of Emergency and in her announcement quotes Haney: “This is a public health emergency demanding a crisis level response, with massive urgency… a declaration of an emergency will give us the tools we need to respond…”

The supposedly über-powerful Soros-funded progressive criminal justice reform movement has gone quiet, reduced now to a handful of radical progressive columnists at newspapers who further discredit & isolate themselves by denying the Ferguson effect & blaming “the right wing.”  

The most important national expert on drugs & crime is @KeithNHumphreys of Stanford University. His oped, “Breed’s plan to shut down Tenderloin drug markets is progressive,” is in today’s @sfchronicle

It is the new center of a moved Overton window. Humphreys is one of the leading experts I cite in “San Fransicko,” which draws heavily on the same study that informs Humphreys oped, which is very detailed and careful study of how Austria, Frankfurt, Lisbon, Vienna, & Zurich shut down open drug scenes

Progressives misled the public about addiction, about how Europe dealt with it, and about what the best practices are for dealing with it

Best practice is *not* to enable, normalize, and legalize open-air fentanyl & meth addictions, which kill 100k people/year
Best practice is to arrest street addicts who break the law and give them the choice of rehab or jail

THAT’S what they did in Portugal.

They didn’t just do harm reduction and they certainly didn’t destigmatize meth, heroin, and fentanyl use!

Progressives similarly misled the public, including me, on crime

They said they would seek alternatives to incarceration but prog DAs mostly aren’t doing that, they’re just letting people out without probation & rehabilitation, and diversion programs aren’t working.  Rather than be honest about this, progressive prosecutors and progressive activist writers have simply denied the crime rise.

Until, that is, former Philly Mayor @Michael_Nutter called out @DA_LarryKrasner for denying record homicides Krasner apologized.

Then came Breed’s speech: “When you are in a room full of people, I would say between 90% & 95% of folks could raise their hand and say that either their car has been broken into, or they’ve been a victim in some capacity or another. That is not acceptable.”

Over the last 10 days it became, suddenly, politically impossible for mainstream progressives to maintain the lie that crime wasn’t rising, which is why we’re now seeing radical progressive writers at LA Times, SF Chron saying, self-revealingly, that “Defund the Police” is bad PR.

Yes, it’s bad PR for progressives, but that’s a pretty gross and pathetic thing for columnists who, just a few months ago were thundering away about Black Lives, to take away from the loss of so many black lives to homicide
The moral center has returned to honest souls like @MistahFAB whose authenticity, sensitivity, and commitment to reality stands in sharp contrast to the progressive columnists who betray their true agenda by showing little concern for non-police homicides

Progressives can win back their credibility but they will need to

— Admit Ferguson effect of police withdrawal and criminal emboldenment is real & responsible in large measure for rise in homicides & crime
— Enforce laws & support accountability for all not victimology for few
— Genuinely seek rehab & recovery through probation as alternative to incarceration, and abandon the false idea that any engagement with crim justice system results in higher risk of incarceration. It’s been proven wrong by drug testing & drug courts.
— Shut down open drug scenes following the European model of enforcing laws against public drug use/camping/defecation; Shelter First, Housing Earned; universal psychiatry; and sufficient shelter space, supportive housing, psych beds in hospitals, group homes, & rehab clinics.
— Embrace “tough love” and “carrots and sticks”; reject victimology, anti-system radicalism, & harm reduction-only; embrace a positive view of the potential of people to recover from their illness, not a cynical view that views the sick as permanently sick victims of evil system.

A lot has changed in a few days. Philly DA reversed his crime denialism. Breed embraced tough love & shutting open drug scene. Former Gov Jerry Brown rejected public drug use. SF Sup Haney switched from Team Prog to Team Mod.

There’s much more to come, but change has begun. What happens next could make America a truly better place

The underlying problem, I concluded in “San Fransicko,” is the refusal of Americans at all levels of society, not just in government, to take responsibility

We need a new era of responsibility & accountability

Comments on this entry are closed.

  • gwbnyc December 17, 2021, 9:12 PM



    • Kevin in PA December 18, 2021, 3:16 AM

      Your acronym is correct and so is this one;
      BLM = Burn – Loot – Murder

      • gwbnyc December 18, 2021, 7:03 AM


    • Sixtyville December 18, 2021, 9:51 AM

      “Biden’s Little Morons”.

  • Boat Guy December 17, 2021, 10:35 PM

    Yeah…sure. They can magically walk back years of socialism and idiocy (I repeat myself) because “just now” they’ve had some sorta epiphany? Anybody who didn’t see this coming should not be entrusted with loose change.
    I hope they continue to get what they voted for, “gooder” and harder – personally and perpetually. Don’t let them flee what they have created.

  • John A. Fleming December 17, 2021, 11:27 PM

    I take great issue with his closing statement “refusal of Americans at all levels of society, not just in government, to take responsibility”.

    What a crock. That’s a red diaper baby tell right there. We the law-abiding and productive Americans must admit our guilt. We failed these lawless people our fellow citizens and we must now be punished for it. To expiate our guilt we must now support the progressive project led by our enlightened elites, and make all sacrifices demanded.

    A typical proggro, can never admit or conclude they were stone-cold dirty dog-breath wrong wrong wrong. Not just wrong but evil wrong. Communism is the best system, it just hasn’t been tried right, and there’s always reactionaries and wreckers and hoarders that have to be … identified and neutralized. *@!% off proggro, and take your filthy cities and your filthy ideas and ride them down to hell, I won’t be joining you.

    Milton Friedman said we don’t want a system that depends on the right people in charge, but a system where if the wrong people get their turn they are still forced to do the right thing. Unfortunately, it doesn’t quite work that way. The big-city polirats are suddenly realizing their grift is in mortal peril. Detroit and Newark are the archetype. The current rats will do just enough to secure their skim and get out, to be replaced by baser rats, until the last rats gnaw the dusty bones. It will take a while, there’s a lot of ruin in a city/state/nation.

    Cities fall into ruin and are forgotten, it’s been happening for 10,000 years since Gobekli Tepe. It is the natural order of things. Shed no tears for SF/NY/Phil/Balti/Chi-town/LA/Detroit or those who live there.

    And yet, the big city near me, the skyline has been growing by leaps and bound these last 20 years, ever-taller and more ornate, while the streets have fallen into perdition. It seems a contradiction playing out in real time. It is a great mystery, to see the large-scale outward signs of wealth and progress, while at the same time the small-scale underpinnings of civilization accumulates entropy.

    Refusal to take responsibility. Hah! What was I supposed to do? Not work hard, be productive, be law abiding, raise a family, contribute to my community and vote for good people? My candidates always lose, I didn’t vote for this ****. Instead, I should have taken to the streets, and worked on political campaigns, and hustled to sit on government commissions? I live in a one-party dictatorship, where the choice is the incumbent, the heir, or the spare. The Federals are charged by our Constitution to ensure that each State has a republican form of government. The Federals are completely derelict in their duty. The elections here stopped being fair and free 10 years ago. Resisting the beast makes it stronger. Participating with the beast make it stronger.

    There’s only one other peaceful path: walk away and starve the beast. Make allies and prepare for the day when the starving beast thrashing in its death throes comes for us. Kill all it sends.

    • Kevin in PA December 18, 2021, 3:21 AM

      “There’s only one other peaceful path: walk away and starve the beast. Make allies and prepare for the day when the starving beast thrashing in its death throes comes for us. Kill all it sends.”

      Starving the beast is the only way that I can see as solution….short of murder.

      • ghostsniper December 18, 2021, 4:36 AM

        I agree, and have been doing so for 20+ years, let it die on the vine. But the criminal enterprise just keeps on making new money. As long as it can do that successfully it will exist and keep getting worse. All we can do is hang on, do the best we can, and stay out of it’s way.

  • Casey Klahn December 17, 2021, 11:36 PM

    When the Soviet Union started out, it was love beads and grab ass all around. Blacks from America and elsewhere saw the new communist regime as an opportunity to make a new life, free from prejudice.
    Then it soon became evident that minorities had nothing to offer the state. Communists want people who contribute to the state. Period.
    Black Lives Matter, do they? Why exactly? What do they offer the Marxist state they seek to establish? Good vibes, I suppose? The state has no time for horseshit.
    Divisive politics work great, up until the commies consolidate their power. Then: rights, individuals, and equality? The state needs none of that, thanks.

  • Mike Austin December 18, 2021, 1:29 AM

    Shellenberger writes, “Progressives can win back their credibility but they will need to…”. Then he makes a list how this miracle can be achieved. I am astounded by the naiveté. No “progressive” wants anything on his list. In fact they want the opposite.

    All the problems mentioned by Shellenberger are not seen by “progressives” as mistakes or errors or bad policies; they are seen as necessary precursors to their complete takeover on the US.

    • Kevin in PA December 18, 2021, 3:23 AM

      “All the problems mentioned by Shellenberger are not seen by “progressives” as mistakes or errors or bad policies; they are seen as necessary precursors to their complete takeover on the US.”


  • OneGuy December 18, 2021, 7:29 AM

    The problem is we crossed the Rubicon. Would you as a police officer use force to arrest a black criminal? If you answer yes than you haven’t been paying attention to what the DA’s and the Jury’s are doing to cops who try to enforce the law on black criminals. Arrest the whites, arrest the people who aren’t vaxxed or wearing masks. But unless you want to spend the rest of your life in prison let the black thugs go free.

    • John the River December 18, 2021, 8:26 AM

      Exactly so. So begin by rehabilitating Derek Chauvin, get his case in front of a unbiased court, exonerate him, free him, compensate him for unjust prosecution and defamation.
      Then get him the same lawyers those two boys are using and wring the lying media outlets dry.

      That would be a start.

      • Mike Austin December 18, 2021, 4:10 PM

        Only a Kafka could imagine a world where Chauvin is in prison and those who put him there are free. In a sane world, in a normal world, in a heathy world, the reverse would be true. And Floyd would still be dead.

  • jwm December 18, 2021, 7:50 AM

    Sooner or later the world confronts the hard truth. Blacks are simply not capable of building or maintaining an advanced civilization. Best they can do is Africa. They may have come here as slaves, but they’ve been a ball and chain on the nation ever since. And it’s no different anywhere else on the planet.
    That ain’t gonna’ change. Period.


    • Jack December 18, 2021, 8:23 AM

      Blacks have never, ever, ever, ever, ever been contributors to any free society anywhere on the planet and they do not assimilate. With rare exception do they provide anything at all to the societies in which they live and they are only violent parasites who create crime and discord that destroys civilizations.

      Leftist and marxist politicians know this too and they use the negro and the large number of white people who are sympathetic to him, regardless of his historically proven liabilities, to advance the destruction and annihilation of societies that are an obstacle to their objectives. And the negro, barely conscious of anything except being black and looking out for himself, has no idea of just how quickly he will disappear after various political and social objectives are met. And come Hell or High Water, I will not miss him or mourn his passing.

      • ghostsniper December 18, 2021, 8:46 AM

        The more ya know em the less you like em.
        They’ve gotten to where they are in the US by gov’t theft and massive white ignorance.

  • John Fisher December 18, 2021, 9:59 AM

    Watch their actions, not their words. I’m betting that this is just the Democrats being Democrats. ‘We really aren’t the radical crazies you think we are’. Lucy will pull the football yet again.

  • James ONeil December 18, 2021, 10:26 AM

    Thank you thank you thank you all, I see the light! If we just get rid of them thar blacks and let white folks run the country, dang it all, it’ll be right!

    Yes sirree white folks in control, like George Soros, the Clinton clan, Biden, General Mauldin Miley, Pelosi, Bush clan, Mark Zuckerberg, Bill Gates, Occasional Cortex, Gretchen Whitmer, Jeffrey Bezos, good and true white men like Admiral Dr. Rachel Levine!

    After all them no account spades such as Clarence Thomas, Thomas Sowell, Sachmo, Walt Willams, George Washington Carver, Sammy Davis, John Canley, ain’t never done nutten to enlighten or entertains us.

    Come to think of it, them Nazis probably all, each and every one of them, had a touch of the tar brush, white folks are just nicer than that.

    Situational awareness; if your alone in a parking garage and four big burly black guys start walkin’ toward you be ready to defend yourself! Of course if its four big burly white guys with baseball bats, no need to worry, they’se just gonna ask you to play some sand lot ball.

    OK, flame away. -grin-

    • ghostsniper December 18, 2021, 10:48 AM

      How in the world did you get from the subject negroes to the non-subject negroes?
      Once more:
      My ol’ gray haired Pappy told me long ago, “Son, ya got your negroes and you got your niggas and they ain’t the same.”

    • Kevin in PA December 18, 2021, 11:11 AM

      You raise a fair point, James.
      Judging people by their identity groups and lumping them all into the same pot is foolish. It is also very Marxist too.
      Every human being is an individual with unique agency and under the ideal of Western/Christian culture we are all children of God. We shall each individually be measured for our individual actions.

      Tragically, as has been pointed out, it is government policy that has helped to destroy the family (and not just black families). The key to fixing it is take the power away from the offending party – BIG GOV.

      Finally, I would also point out that Whites, like Soros and Zuckerberg and others dumping money into groups like BLM, all in the name of seeking “racial justice” are fomenting racial strife.

      • ghostsniper December 18, 2021, 11:35 AM

        No it’s not a fair point.
        It’s the same cheap trick the media uses to kow the ignorant.
        The whole way through this thread the subject was the criminal negro thugs, until James brought up something none of us were talking about.
        His whole comment was off point, and for that matter, so is yours.

        There’s a HUGE problem in this country and the negro criminals is only a part of it.
        The bigger part, which is the part that will have major effect on most of us soon, is the criminal hands of the gov’t. It underscores almost everything, overshadows almost everything, and eventually (but not nearly soon enough) will fail grandly and drag a whole lot innocent people down with it. Each person must figure out, on a day to day basis, because the gameboard changes continuously, how to not become victimized by the million poisonous tendrils of the largest criminal enterprise the world has ever known as it writhes in it’s death throes.

        • James ONeil December 18, 2021, 12:26 PM

          Hum I brought it up? I went back and read, above my posting; “Blacks have never, ever, ever, ever, ever been contributors to any free society anywhere on the planet”, “The more ya know em the less you like em.”, “…they’ve been a ball and chain on the nation ever since. ”

          None the less, OK if you say so, I brought it up. However I do think it’s germane and contributes to the discussion.

          • ghostsniper December 18, 2021, 2:48 PM

            James, we are talking about the negro’s in the context of the subject matter of this post. The savage thugs. Some how you have construed this to mean ALL negro’s but no one has said ALL negro’s. Except you.

            Look, if people of any race behaved civilized I don’t think many folks would have a problem with that. But criminals of any stripe are detested universally. As an old architect once told me, “You seem to be trying to pick the pepper out of the fly shit.” My last comment.

          • Jack December 20, 2021, 1:48 PM

            I adore fairness and truth Mr. ONeil so please tell me….where I erred in my comment. Give me a couple of illustrations where blacks, in any society, have assimilated and been creative, generous and beneficial providers to that society without invoking racial divisiveness and blaming white people for the general failures of the black race.

            Sure, they are human or let me put it another way….we want them to be human. We remake the world and we restructure society just for them so they can obtain those things they claim they desire. But, in most cases, they don’t work for and earn their gains in life because our government simply gives them and you’d think that would fix things for them but their mantra is “whitey owes us”. Our government could literally hand $100K to every single black in this nation and within 6 months to 2 years later, most of them would be back, banging on the door, screaming discrimination, racism and hatred and demanding more.

            I can not and will not respect anyone who blames everyone but himself for his problems or who while doing so gloms on to the governmental tit with a death grip and does nothing from that largess to help himself.

            And let me ax you anudda question….if white people had the ability, guts, intelligence and determination to build this nation that has stood, since its creation, as a protector and provider for much of the planet….why would anyone want to turn its governance over to negroes anywhere or for any reason? Do you think that black rule would ‘fix’ things to your satisfaction?

    • Mike Austin December 18, 2021, 4:14 PM

      Well James, do us all a favor. Imagine the USA with no whites. Now imagine it with no blacks. Notice any difference?

      • James ONeil December 18, 2021, 8:02 PM

        Why yes, a far less interesting country.

        • Mike Austin December 19, 2021, 2:39 AM

          Somehow I doubt that the whites who live in black dominated areas like Detroit, Baltimore, Chicago, Birmingham, New Orleans and so on, would agree with you. You sound like somebody who lives in a state whose population is less than 4 percent black. Which you are.

  • jwm December 18, 2021, 10:31 AM

    No need to flame, James.
    We’re just tired of including the socially correct NABALT disclaimer.
    And somehow, Western Civilization would have hobbled along without those guys. We’d have managed, somehow.


    • Mike Austin December 18, 2021, 12:16 PM

      Western Civilization is an entirely Caucasian construct. No other race contributed anything to that magnificent structure. On the contrary, other races have been detrimental to it. The fact that it is dissolving before our eyes is not because of negroes or Asians, but because a large number of whites evolved into “race traitors”. The reasons behind this are the usual ones: money, ignorance, power—all attractions well-known to Judas, Benedict Arnold, Lord Haw-Haw and Vidkun Quisling. It is a civilizational suicide.

      There will be nothing equivalent to replace it. If Christ does not return before then, we can expect yet another Dark Age, from where, eventually, the white man can again dream, build and create.

      • James ONeil December 18, 2021, 1:04 PM

        I tend to agree that our Greco-Roman-Judeo-Christian civilization is, or rather was, a magnificent structure, and I feel the US Constitutional Republic it greatest glory.

        However suggesting that is is purely a Caucasian construct is sophistry. Mongolians, Semites, and why yes, even a negro or two, have been contributing to, building western civilization from earliest times on.

        OK and of course, I know, the Arabs contributed nothing, zilch, zero to civilization, in this year of our Lord, MMXXI.

        I do agree we’re approaching another Dark Age, from where, eventually, men of good will can again dream, build and create.

        • Mike Austin December 18, 2021, 3:38 PM

          Mongolians since the great Khan have specialized in destroying civilizations, not in building it. Here is a summation of their handiwork:

          “The Mongol conquests of the 13th century resulted in widespread and well-documented destruction. The Mongol army conquered hundreds of cities and villages and killed millions of people. One estimate is that about 11% of the world’s population was killed either during or immediately after the Mongol invasions (around 37.75–60 million people in Eurasia). If the calculations are accurate, the events would be the deadliest acts of mass killings in human history.”

          Name one thing the West uses that was developed by the Mongols. Take your time. I’ll wait.

          Semites—mainly Jews and Arabs—are offshoots of the Caucasian race. And besides, much of what was taught about Arab civilization is being revamped. Their “contributions” come mainly from the Eastern Roman Empire and from the Persians—yet another Caucasian offshoot.

          As for your comment about “even a negro or two”: Name one.

          • James ONeil December 18, 2021, 7:55 PM

            Mongoloids? Silk, paper, gunpowder, printing, noodles, probably stirrups (China 500-200 B C)
            Negro? Alexander Pushkin, Thomas Sowell, and why yes I could name more.

            Semites are Caucasians now? OK though many now consider Caucasian an obsolete classification. I admit I’m not even trying to keep up on the nomenclature. People are people, people are different, different groups of people are different.

            BTW: Yep, of course, us white folks have done a lot good and bad as have other groups. I don’t think however that just we created the modern world all by ourselves out of whole cloth, however I don’t demand nor even suggest everyone else need agree.

            Me, I’ll stand by anyone though, red,yellow, black white, whatever who supports and contributes to our civilization. I think we’ve a rather rough road ahead of us and we’ll need all the help we can get from whoever is willing, to get down it.

            That’s my position and I’m sticking to it, and, yes, I’ll call a spade a spade until I get stepped on by one. 😉

            The reason I started this rant is hey, we’re all Americans, if we stand together the Republic prospers, If we let them, whoever they are, divide us into warring tribes based on color, religion, vaxxed or unvaxxed, masked or whatever, we lose America.

            • Gordon Scott December 19, 2021, 2:40 AM

              Stirrups are (were) important. So are chimneys, accurate clocks, and firearms, which turned an interesting toy (gunpowder) into a means for people to defend against marauders.

            • Mike Austin December 19, 2021, 2:47 AM

              Pushkin was 94 percent white. Do you just know Thomas Sowell’s name, or have you read any of his books?

  • tired dog December 18, 2021, 4:15 PM

    Have the bosses and capos of BLM, etc. skimmed the kitty and now luxuriate in high dollar real estate, not to be seen in public again having loosed the scum?

  • Gordon Scott December 19, 2021, 2:33 AM

    Even as Michael Shellenberger’s essay recognizes how big city progressives are admitting they were wrong about defunding the police, the Star Tribune of Minneapolis/St. Paul features a story about how all the Minnesota social service agencies are pushing “Housing First.” This is the policy of building very expensive housing for addicts and lunatics to destroy, and requiring exactly zero changes in behavior. In other words, the policy that Shellenberger has shown is worse than doing nothing.

    But Minneapolis always dreams of being San Francisco, so perhaps in a few years the worm will turn.