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After scanning its face again and again,
I began to scale it, picking my holds
With intense caution. About half-way
To the top, I was suddenly brought to
A dead stop, with arms outspread
Clinging close to the face of the rock
Unable to move hand or foot
Either up or down. My doom
Appeared fixed. I MUST fall.
There would be a moment of
Bewilderment, and then,
A lifeless rumble down the cliff
To the glacier below.
My mind seemed to fill with a
Stifling smoke. This terrible eclipse
Lasted only a moment, when life blazed
Forth again with preternatural clearness.
I seemed suddenly to become possessed
Of a new sense. My trembling muscles
Became firm again, every rift and flaw in
The rock was seen as through a microscope,
My limbs moved with a positiveness and precision
With which I seemed to have
Nothing at all to do.
My head knocks against the stars.
My feet are on the hilltops.
My finger-tips are in the valleys and shores of
universal life.
Down in the sounding foam of primal things I
reach my hands and play with pebbles of
destiny.
I have been to hell and back many times.
I know all about heaven, for I have talked with God.
I dabble in the blood and guts of the terrible.
I know the passionate seizure of beauty
And the marvelous rebellion of man at all signs
reading “Keep Off.”
My name is Truth and I am the most elusive captive
in the universe.
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It’s not the local lumber yards or the timber growers that are making a killing off the lumber. It’s Weyerhauser, Georgia Pacific and a couple of other major lumber companies. Part of it is because of covid-19 and the fact that a lot of sawmills were shut down because of it. And because they can.
Look at how lumber prices fluctuate when ever there is a major hurricane expected to hit. Nine months ago, you could buy a sheet of 3/4″ A/C plywood for about 35 bucks. Now it’s 75 bucks a sheet. A 2x12x16 foot timber that cost less then 20 bucks a year ago is now 75 bucks. Even ratty 1/4″ utility OSB is 30 bucks. It’s outrageous.
Lowes, Suffolk VA
2x4x8’ $7.09
Black. Market. Everything.
There are a whole lot of factors involved. A contractor in Phoenix area was able to get 2X4s for a lot less than the Home Depot/Lowes price because he talks to people and knows independent lumber yards all over. They are not smooth sawn, like the big box lumber, but they work just fine.
The house I lived in in Minneapolis went up in price seven percent in 30 days. That’s crazy. But crazy can persist longer than your own common sense, so one is foolish to bet against it. At this point the underlying rot in Minneapolis is obvious to me, but others only see the $$$ as the market rockets upward.
Lowes, Columbus, IN
2x4x8′ $7.58
More than double a year ago.
Here in Fairbanks, Alaska
8 foot 2×4, surfaced, imported from the lower forty eight $7.54
8 foot 2×4, rough cut, locally harvested, oddly enough $8.30
The longer it sits the more valuable it is becoming. But the increases aren’t all due to increased demand as shortage of shipping also acts to lower the supply. I work in manufactured housing and my sister plant and I buy as much lumber as shown in the picture every week. Our production is currently sold out for the next year and no matter how much lumber, OSB, and other building supplies go up we are contracted to produce those homes at an agreed upon price so we have to keep buying. What should have been a great year is now a matter of hanging on until prices drop thanks to our extended backlog and lead times. Interesting times.
Several several years ago, my boss had contracted to build a couple of semi custom homes. At the time the bids were made, OSB sheathing was priced at 5 bucks a sheet. But then Hurricane Andrew happened and prices went through the roof, so to speak. OSB went up to 12 bucks a sheet overnight, but Lowe’s and Home Depot just happened to be selling it at ten bucks a sheet. They also had a price match guarantee plus ten percent discount. I made a couple of phone calls around and ended up getting it from Lowe’s for eight bucks a sheet. I ordered 12 units @ 64 sheets per unit and saved the company a bunch of money. Lowe’s didn’t like it, but they were stuck because of the wording. ( They learned from their mistake.)
For your Biden first year bingo cards: fuel shortages up next. I’m not making predictions for what’ll happen under Biden because the actual answer to what bad will come from Biden is: everything you can imagine!
BTW, I am trying to read up on the wood prices and I am befuddled. I do know one thing: the logger gets screwed, again.
Okay, on Biden, I just realized this one: he’s in line to become the greatest democrat president ever. How do I predict this? Because he will pass into law more spending than probably any single dem president, and probably most of them put together! He will make the New Deal and the Great Society look like a bean dish.
Learn It. Live it. Love it.
“I stumbled on this yesterday”. You have never been there before? You were unaware if its existence until yesterday? How can you conclude that the amount of lumber present is more or less than at any other time? How can you make any reasonable assessment of the rate that lumber is currently entering or leaving the yard, or how that rate compares to any other time?
Given the amount of bare ground visible it is possible to stack much more lumber while retaining room for passage. It is as likely that the volume present today is less than average as it is that it is above average.
Yes, lumber and all wood products (and steel and plastics and glass and roofing and insulation) have increased dramatically in price and vary in price and availability from day to day at these higher prices. Many other things have as well (food, fuel, appliances), though maybe not in the same degree. (We have not seen the extent of the inflation to come.) Mills report reopening and full production and the final products are being bought and used. I haven’t heard of anyone hoarding building materials, it all appears to be used. Lumber futures remain up though are now fluctuating a little up and down at these higher rates.
The rate of building will slow as the current need (and perceived need) is satisfied, and probably to a point below seasonal or yearly averages. No one knows when or for how long. I’m guessing we won’t see an autumn surge this year. Prices and volume will respond accordingly.