Good analysis but the media will faithfully serve up the Kerry talking points and spin while speaking anything negative about their "war hero." The Dems will call forth their usual slime slingers. The worst prospect about a defeat of Kerry is that Hillary's prospects will be insured. The chance of the Dems recognizing that Leftist extremism is a loser just would take hold, except to the extent that they will re double their efforts to hide their socialist agenda and attempt to portray themselves as Joe Six pack good guys.
After seeing Zell, Arnold and Bush I predict a 4-6% victory margin.Posted by Thomas J. Jackson at September 2, 2004 11:35 PM
10 percentPosted by Scott Wilson at September 3, 2004 4:19 AM
% victory is nice it helps shut down the 'but he didn't win the popular vote' loonies, but it's the states and electoral college votes that really matter. I say 40 states minimum go to Bush...dare we predict Califonia?
And since everyone is on to the MSM game of prematurely, falsely calling the election, people will ignore that and the pounding will continue until the last poll closes.
If it ain't close I don't think VDH's prediction will come to pass, and I have a hunch it ain't goin' to be close.Posted by phil gilbert at September 3, 2004 2:28 PM
No to sound too cocky, but I have been predicting a landslide for over 6 months.
Bush will win with 60% of the vote.
Why? Well there are about 100 reasons but it boils down to voter motivation and the state of economic and national security.
Dean made them turn a sharp left and that group of anti-Bush hatred must be fed. That motivation will only work for about 30% of the democrats. But when polls show Bush winning by more than 8 points with one week to go, many of those people will stay home out of sheer disgust and exhaustion. One can only hate intensely for so long knowing it will lead to failure.
Now on our side we are motivated by the love and respect we have for this man given the circumstances this country has been in. We are motivated by positive and optimistic view we have for this country and the economy. We are motivated by the fact that we recognize we are at war and the commander in chief is taking good care of us. No major attacks since Sept 11.
Kerry's campaign has been in trouble from day one. He is such a weak candidate, A 10 year old can run Bush's campaign and beat him. Bush has not even started to fight.Posted by ovi at September 3, 2004 11:59 PM
Wouldn't you love to see someone ask Terry McAuliffe on national TV why the Democrats didn't run Zell Miller? It is, of course, impossible, given the current party's predeliction for warmed over '60s radicals, but perhaps they should ponder it.Posted by Tom Lytle at September 4, 2004 9:52 AM