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October 20, 2016

The number of percentage points being allocated to Johnson and Stein is between 7 and 14.

anatpolls.jpg

Notice something very informative about the wildly divergent national polls?
In 2012, the combined Libertarian/Green vote was 1.35 percent. In 2008, it was 0.96 percent. Now, let's be generous and pretend that the combined Libertarian/Green vote will be 2 percent, which would be a 48 percent increase from 2012 and 108 percent from 2008. That means that the national polls are, at a minimum, off by between 5 and 12 points. Vox Popoli: The national polls: stretch run

Posted by gerardvanderleun at October 20, 2016 9:16 AM. This is an entry on the sideblog of American Digest: Check it out.

Your Say

Well, that's a new way to analyze statistics. Looks about as sound as the other ways; said as one who took a couple of advanced stat courses in the MBA program, albeit 40 years ago.

Posted by: BillH at October 20, 2016 10:10 AM

21OCT16: election fraud being investigated in: CO, FL, IL, IN, MN, PA & TX.
Proving to be one EXPENSIVE election, too.

Posted by: My Shari'a Moor at October 21, 2016 5:36 PM

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