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October 6, 2016

It's Probably Nothing:

there’s been a new rifle attack on a power substation, in rural Utah.
It appears to have been less sophisticated and less persistent than the California attack, but more effective — the attacker or attackers blew the station off the grid with as few as three rifle shots. What Can a Mere Rifle Do, II | WeaponsMan

Posted by gerardvanderleun at October 6, 2016 8:28 AM. This is an entry on the sideblog of American Digest: Check it out.

Your Say

Elon Musk says they still don't have a root cause identified for the F9 rocket explosion on 9/1. To get an explosion you need fuel, oxygen, and an ignition source, and they are not able to identify a mechanism by which all three could come together more or less instantly. Sure, a leak could lead to the release of either RP-1 or LOX, and just the right leak might eventually propagate to somewhere there was an ignition source, but there was a sudden rupture of two independent pressure vessels containing LOX and RP-1, and an ignition source that was immediately at hand, but which has yet to be identified and has never been observed in the past.



Like Sherlock Holmes said: "When you have eliminated the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth."



I don't think anyone believes they have eliminated all causes, but eventually they are going to run out of possibilities and impossibilities, and be forced to start looking at the improbabilities.



Another less-well-known Sherlock quote:
"There is nothing more deceptive than an obvious fact."

Posted by: Ray Van Dune at October 7, 2016 12:51 PM

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