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March 11, 2016

Be ready for war.

STRATFOR George Friedman predictions for the future:

BI: In this day and age it's relatively unusual for nations to go to war against one another.  Do you see that changing? Do you see interstate warfare making a comeback?

GF: From 1815 to 1871 there was not an interstate war of any substance in Europe. Then came World War I, a biggie. I'll give you another statistic. There has never been a century that has not had a systemic war -- a systemic war, meaning when the entire system convulses. From the Seven Years' War in Europe to the Napoleonic Wars of the 19th century to the World Wars, every century has one. Do you want to bet this will be the only century that doesn'€™t have one? I'€™ll take that bet ... When you have the countries like Germany, China, and Russia decline, and be replaced by others, that'€™s when systemic wars start. That'€™s when it gets dangerous, because they haven'€™t yet reached a balance. So Germany united in 1871 and all hell broke loose. Japan rose in the early 20th century, and then you had chaos. So we'€™re looking at a systemic shift. Be ready for war.

Posted by gerardvanderleun at March 11, 2016 6:51 PM. This is an entry on the sideblog of American Digest: Check it out.

Your Say

idk what he's saying about the 19th Century; that and the 18th Century were together the high-water mark for the expression of the military art. We ignore that era at our peril, and it was ironic when Obammy said that time that Putin was living in the 19th Century (or whatever the fuk he said, - I'm close) and I yelled at the news feed: "no sh it!" Here we are in wartime, again, and I'm kinda unhappy about it.
I tend to be more hawkish than Trump is projecting, but I do like his resistance to sliding into wars. My opinions are purely based on history and the war arts - not politics. Fark all politicians till they're blue. When I listen to Cruz talk about war, I get that old Patton quote in my head where he doesn't know any more about war than he does about fornicating.
Breathing into my bag, now.

Posted by: Casey Klahn [TypeKey Profile Page] at March 11, 2016 7:36 PM

Now that I read it, I remain impressed that GF is an idiot. He should've been Rumsfeld's and McNamara's caddy.

Posted by: Casey Klahn [TypeKey Profile Page] at March 11, 2016 9:40 PM

The next *war* you are dragged into will be right here in the US and you'll be defending yourself against people whom you contribute to their income.

Some of those people may be sitting at your breakfast table this morning.

They turn the things you love against you.

Is your Kabar strapped to your right calve where it's supposed to be and can you peel a tomato with it?

Laziness = regret, and regret is a terrible thing.

Posted by: ghostsniper [TypeKey Profile Page] at March 12, 2016 4:49 AM

Looked at a new HG, yesterday. War came to us in the forms of 9-11 and San Berny, but also every time a political party holds a meeting we are at war. Just sayin. Riots starting this weekend - but I lived through the Sixties so I'm not that upset about this yet.

Posted by: Casey Klahn [TypeKey Profile Page] at March 12, 2016 12:12 PM

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