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January 19, 2015
That “1-in-27 Million Chance That Earth’s Record Hot Streak Is Natural” Is Preposterous
Do we have a full causal model for temperature?
We do not. If we did, then meteorologists and climatologists would not make mistaken forecasts. Because they often do (especially climatologists), it must be that their models are incomplete. We do not know all the causes of temperature. But because we do not, it does not—it absolutely does not with liberty bells on—mean that we do know the cause is man-made global warming.
This is the sense that the 1 in 27 million is wrong.
It’s the right answer to a question nobody asked based on a model no sane person believes. Its answer is useless utterly in discovering whether global warming is true or false. If this is not now obvious to you, you are lost, lost.| William M. Briggs
Posted by gerardvanderleun at January 19, 2015 9:19 AM. This is an entry on the sideblog of American Digest: Check it out.
Your Say
If that preposterous example of a statistic does not set off a person's bullshit meter, he just doesn't have one.
Posted by: james wilson ![[TypeKey Profile Page]](http://americandigest.org/sidelines/nav-commenters.gif)
at January 19, 2015 11:25 AM
The bozos already are backing off their idiotic claim of the hottest year.
All this flapdoodle comes up precisely when the economies of one and several nations are about to go tits up. Greece is going to give the EU the WOODIE of painful size on the 25th of this month. Blighty might also pull it's willy out of the bunghole too. With our half-wit twit ready to jabber to the Country tomorrow, who knows what in hell he'll yank out of his pants.
Some traveling music maestro.
Posted by: Vermont Woodchuck at January 19, 2015 3:01 PM
The more blatantly obvious the global warming hysteria becomes as a fiction, the more preposterous their rhetoric becomes. Its as if they're screaming and waving their arms demanding people listen to them as everyone walks away shaking their heads sadly.
Posted by: Christopher Taylor at January 19, 2015 3:15 PM
When I first heard about last year being the hottest on record I almost punched the wall involuntarily. For the past 4 years here in the hinterlands the winters have been getting colder and longer and the summers colder and shorter. There is no freedom of speech for lies and the liars should be dragged.
Posted by: ghostsniper at January 19, 2015 7:21 PM
From what my uncle Letsgo Lozko taught me, when the temperature goes higher it gets hot. When the temperature goes lower it gets cold.
Are there any questions about that?
Posted by: chasmatic at January 20, 2015 7:13 AM
You might want to check your thermometer. The Warmist turkeys will tell you it can't go down.
Posted by: Vermont Woodchuck at January 20, 2015 8:03 AM