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September 25, 2009

Now the Greens Want Your Ass

Environmentalists Seek to Wipe Out Plush Toilet Paper

Posted by Vanderleun at September 25, 2009 11:09 AM. This is an entry on the sideblog of American Digest: Check it out.

Your Say

Marva Munson: "you mean to tell me you never one time suffered from piles? It's the human condition, most humans anyway. Like that ball player said: world's got two kinds of folks -- them that's got piles and them that's gonna get 'em."

"The Ladykillers (2004)"

Posted by: Fat Man at September 25, 2009 11:38 AM

Perfectly appropriate behavior, considering they are all assholes.

Posted by: Ed at September 25, 2009 3:54 PM

The enviro-nuts can have my toilet paper as soon as I am done with it :)

Posted by: askmom at September 25, 2009 6:49 PM

Pam, Gallup and Rassmussen have been doing something I think is a big misatke - it's called "dynamic weighting". The idea is that if a certain percentage of your raw poll of respondents are a certain party, then the population has changed and is more like the new alignment. This is how they end up fudging the weights, and why I wrote an earlier article calling them on it. In one 2-week stretch, for example, Gallup claimed Obama was gaining support overall, even though the party-ID details showed he was steady or losing ground in every category, and that McCain was losing support, even though the internal data showed he was steady or gaining ground in every category. That poll was skewed by changing the weights, increasing democrats' portion of the poll and decreasing republicans' portion.You may not remember that Gallup had Carter leading Ford by 33 points just after the DNC. The truth is, that was a lie, a result of weighting the polls because Gallup thought after Watergate that the democrat turnout would be huge compared to republicans. Carter won the election, but only by 2.1%.I went back and looked at the actual party ID of voters, and for more than a quarter-century it's been remarkably consistent. So I just took the 2006 weights and applied them to the support by each party, and when I do that, two things happen -1. Change is gradual, and generally the undecideds make up their mind as the election gets closer, just as you would expect from normal people making a big decision; and2. McCain leads almost all the time. It's close, but it's real.

Posted by: Christian at July 15, 2012 2:11 AM

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