October 28, 2004

If it's not close, they can't litigate.

The alert bookworm bassist Cameron at the stylish Way Off Bass has directed my attention to Mark Steyn's latest, a 3 page declaration of the coming Bush Tsunami, If Bush goes, I go.

Needless to say, Steyn's not going anywhere, but if he does I'm renting the next condo over. Here are three picks from each of three masterful pages.


So my hunch that that first Harris poll is the correct one is only that -- a hunch that Bush is ahead outside the margin of error. Unfortunately, on election day, he also has to be ahead outside the margin of lawyer, which is a tougher call. The Democrats already have thousands of chad-chasers circling the courthouses in Florida, Ohio, New Mexico and even New Hampshire, alas. It's important for Bush to win big enough both to compensate for Democrat fraud and to deter litigation.


I say ‘angry white men’ because it’s not clear that the Democrats’ ethnic constituencies — blacks and Hispanics — have the Bush Derangement Syndrome to quite the same degree. In 2000, Bush got just 9 per cent of the black vote. Recent polls show he’s pulling about 18 per cent. If that holds up on election day, John Kerry’s finished. It will also be interesting to see whether Bush can peel away any significant chunk of the hitherto loyally Democrat Jewish vote. Given that he’s already damned as a tool of the Jews by such star ignoramuses of British diplomacy as Sir Ivor Roberts, Her Majesty’s man in Rome, and Sir Crispin Tickell in these very pages, the least the sinister Hebrews could do is show a little more enthusiasm for their puppet in the voting booth. Just a small per cent in the right place — retirees in New Mexico, for example — would pay off very nicely.
My sense is that the 2002 model is still operative, and that the Democrats and the media, talking to each other in their mutually self-deluding cocoon, have overplayed the Bush-bashing. Next Tuesday the President will win the states he won last time, plus Iowa, Wisconsin, New Mexico and Maine’s Second Congressional District to put him up to 301 electoral votes. Minnesota? Why not? Nudge him up to 311 electoral votes. Oh, and what the hell, give him Hawaii: that’s 315. The Republicans will make a net gain of two seats in the Senate, one of which will bring with it the scalp of the Democrats’ leader, Tom Daschle.
As I said long ago, an agreeable pundit is a pundit that agrees with me.

By the way, did I mention that I was pointed to this article by the prescient and stylish Way Off Bass which is currently looking marvelous in it's fresh new design? Why yes, I think I did.

Posted by Vanderleun at October 28, 2004 11:44 PM
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"It is impossible to speak in such a way that you cannot be misunderstood." -- Karl Popper N.B.: Comments are moderated and may not appear immediately. Comments that exceed the obscenity or stupidity limits will be either edited or expunged.

And I just donated again to help John Thune get out the vote.

Posted by: Stephen B at October 29, 2004 11:01 PM

Well, that helped. I was pretty bummed, mostly by the apparent fact that the Osama speech, according Schneider, had helped Kerry. So the aging Hamlet furrowed his brow and stroking his razor-sharp chin decides that the thing to do after being addressed by the man that ordered the murder of 3,000 Americans is to take a freakin' poll! Just to test the waters with his toe lest he get a chill jumping in. And then decides that the way to play it is to hype the defeatism angle... like that's a new wrinkle for him.

If this is what Americans have become, the country's probably not worth fighting for. But it can't be, can it? Where are all those blue-collar types that can see that the guy is real unhappy with Bush, and just wants a little relief. Where's the outrage at being threatened by this Creep of Araby?

Or were those indignant letters written back to the Guardian after its little project to meddle in the US election just forgeries? If we're indignant about the meddling of our allies, we'll just roll over for a tummy scratch from the old ratbag himself?

Waiter, there's a frog in this beer.

Posted by: Demosophist at October 31, 2004 9:48 PM

Nice to see Daschle gone! And Kerry too!

Posted by: Americand United Against democRATs at November 9, 2004 3:34 PM