December 14, 2009

Where and When "The Decline" Went Into Hiding

Having trouble explaining the hiding of the decline to all those "busy" people who have not been paying attention?

Let the Daily Mail draw you 2 (Two!) simple pictures to show them:


graph1hockeystick.jpg

graph2hockeystick.jpg

This is the context in which, seven weeks later, Jones presented his ‘trick’ - as simple as it was deceptive.
All he had to do was cut off Briffa’s inconvenient data at the point where the decline started, in 1961, and replace it with actual temperature readings, which showed an increase.
On the hockey stick graph, his line is abruptly terminated - but the end of the line is obscured by the other lines.
‘Any scientist ought to know that you just can’t mix and match proxy and actual data,’ said Philip Stott, emeritus professor of biogeography at London’s School of Oriental and African Studies.
‘They’re apples and oranges. Yet that’s exactly what he did.’ -- SPECIAL INVESTIGATION: Climate change emails row deepens - and Russians admit they DID send them Mail Online

HT: Ace of Spades

Posted by Vanderleun at December 14, 2009 6:55 PM
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"It is impossible to speak in such a way that you cannot be misunderstood." -- Karl Popper N.B.: Comments are moderated and may not appear immediately. Comments that exceed the obscenity or stupidity limits will be either edited or expunged.

Figures don't lie, but liars figure. These guys were just plain liars, and there is no reason to believe that the globe is warming.

Take that Icky.

Posted by: Fat Man at December 14, 2009 7:26 PM

Temperature data seems to have been tampered with as well, through the deletion of select monitoring stations. California is a prime example. We no longer include any temps recorded in the mountains in calculating the state's avg. temperature. Seeing as the mountains are almost all either national parks, national forest, or some other designation of government land, it seems difficult to comprehend that we do not have a ranger, warden, scientist or some other taxpayer-funded minion available to check the weather. Canada's temp. recording situation is an even larger farce, having almost no northern latitudes (above 60 degrees N lat) currently being factored in(1 station). Deleting a large portion of the colder regions of the planet has the effect of making the warmer values skewed in their relative weight.
On a brighter note, I have come up with my own solution to at least one facet of the problem. I am personally on a mission to eat as many of those horrible methane-farting bovine creatures as possible. Spread the word! Help me save the planet! I generally consume a fairly thick slice and as an added environmental benefit, generally do not waste excess energy during the preparation. Stopping cooking when the inner part of the beast's flesh is just warm and pink seems by my calculations to have the best combination of planet-saving environmental benefits.(unless you happen to know some Mongolian Tartars)

Posted by: Roger Drew Williams at December 14, 2009 11:14 PM

The "Hide the Decline" issue is widely misunderstood. It isn't the skeptic case that temps after 1960 were declining. It is that the trees of Keith Briffa were showing tree-rings that indicated a decline in temperature. This invalidates those trees as historical thermometers. But they were selected by the same standards as other trees, so all tree-ring data is now much more suspect. This in turn means that our knowledge of past temperatures is more uncertain than some of us thought. So we don't know how unprecedented the current temperature rise really is.

The "Hide the Decline" issue, for skeptics, depends on the actual measured temperatures actually rising somewhat after 1960. Not declining.

Posted by: Fred at December 15, 2009 2:25 AM

I am personally on a mission to eat as many of those horrible methane-farting bovine creatures as possible.

What gets me is this crusade to get us people to eat like cows, rather than eat cows. According to noted vegans Woody Harrelson and Ted Danson, they and their fellow vegans fart up a storm because of their unnatural (for humans, who are omnivores like MOST animal species) all-vegetation diet.

I mean, seriously, 6-to-7 billion flatulent humans is supposed to be a greenhouse gas solution?

Posted by: Don Rodrigo at December 15, 2009 4:21 PM

Did you watch after Newsnight tonight on BBC 2, watch the "Earth - The Climate Wars; Part 1 "The Battle Begins"?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/b00dhlgl/Earth_The_Climate_Wars_The_Battle_Begins/

Dr Iain Stewart the BBC's guru on Geology and Geography, erstwhile lecturer at Strathclyde and Bristol Universities, now Senior Lecturer at Plymouth University (undoubtedly a Gramscian saturate - sorry - graduate), with the help of the BBC archives and a massive contingent of technie film/graphics bullshitters screened the most one-sided, melodramatic bolstering of the AGW scam that I have so far seen - other than Gore's extravaganza. He had the mic and the camera all to himself and no doubt a budget that could have insulated every house in Britain.

It contained nothing or no one to challenge his assertions; an hour of unadulterated propaganda. Part II is tomorrow night in the same slot. The only way that BBC could ever redeem itself from this blatant piece of AGW religiosity would be to let Lord Monckton and Melanie Phillips have equal slots to counter onslaught on public opinion. Mind-blowing audacity and timed to coincide with the last days of the Stockholm scam and boondoggle. Utterly disgraceful; Manipulation and doomsday scaremongering at its worst!

(Unless of course Stewart, having set up the pro AGW case tonight, destroys it tomorrow with a fair and balanced account of the UEA fraud revelations and agrees that it blows the AGW theory out of the water. I shall not be holding my breath for that possibility to become reality).

Posted by: Frank P at December 15, 2009 6:31 PM

Don: The image of vegans "farting up a storm" is just too troubling.
Yikes!

Posted by: flannelputz at December 16, 2009 1:27 PM

Does a vegan farting in Costa Rica set off a tornado in Texas?

Posted by: monkeyfan at December 17, 2009 12:07 PM
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