American Digest's Master of 'Massachusettes' Seamus O'Hammer will do your arithmetic for you:
Secretary of State William F. Galvin projects between 1.6 million and 2.2 million voters, out of a total of 4 million**, will show up at the polls today despite weather predictions of a mix of rain and snow. More than 105,000 voters have applied for absentee ballots.
"Important information is always in the paper, but you have to mine it, it's not front and center. There's your margin of fraud right there. Not one of those ballots will be cast for Brown, one way or the other. They are comatose people in Nursing Homes, recently dead, you name it. Their names are farmed as sure as any field, all by the Democrats. Ballot boxes will be stuffed in places like Springfield and Lowell, no doubt, but there's a limit to how many people you can count that way. A place that votes 100% Dem is not a target-rich environment for Democrats in a statewide election. The absentee ballots are 4.7 percent of the total. Brown has to beat Coakley by 4.8 percent plus, or he loses outright. And as a practical matter, if it's not quite a bit more than that, he loses in the folderol after.
"The thumbnail sketch of this election is the Democrats thought no Republican would even challenge the Dem, so they chose their candidate on strictly local machine political considerations, never thinking of any general election competition. The fool that they have as Republican Chairman declined to support any candidate in Mass; why would the Democrats think about a challenger? Brown did it himself in a state where Democrats run for office unopposed as often as not. There's nothing in place to help a Republican candidate in any way here. That's why he's such a formidable candidate, especially for the future.
"Martha Coakley is Hillary, expecting to be awarded the prize without trying. She's Bob Dole and McCain, people who are just the next in line for the top of the ticket with no clue as to how to even approach the general election."
Howdy InstaPunditeers! For more on Brown by Seamus O'Hammer the Carpenter Sage of Cape Cod see; "Bring. It. On." @ AMERICAN DIGESTPosted by Vanderleun at January 19, 2010 7:50 AM